Our first 2013 NFL Mock draft came just days after the 2012 draft. Over the past four months, some things have changed. Chiefly, two players have been kicked off their respect teams (Rogers, Mathieu). Also, NFL teams are beginning to have more clearly defined needs. Also, we have some new thoughts on who might be playoff bound, and who might not be.
1. Jaguars – Matt Barkley, QB, USC. – I’m not totally off the Tyler Bray bandwagon, but I’m pumping the brakes after his idiotic bottle-throwing incident, the latest stupid move by the cannon-armed QB. Losing Da’Rick Rogers didn’t help, either.
2. Dolphins – Jarvis Jones, LB, Georgia.
3. Browns – Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah.
4. Raiders – Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU.
5. Rams – Luke Joeckel, OL, Texas A&M. Jeff Fisher likes to run and needs a monster offensive line. Fear not, St. Louis fans who still have the Jason Smith bust fresh in their minds – you can get a playmaker with Washington’s pick.
6. Colts – Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State. I’m a bit higher on the junior than Mel Kiper and others. Big Hank is double-teamed in most plays in this video.
7. Seahawks – Manti Te’o, LB, Notre Dame. Too high? Seattle will sorely miss leading tackler David Hawthorne … so much so, they’ll go out and draft the best MLB in the draft.
8. Cardinals – Barkevious Mingo, LB/DE, LSU.
9. Rams [via Redskins] – Keenan Allen, WR, Califnoria. Won’t be the best WR in the Pac-10 (Marquise Lee of USC), but has great size (6-3, 210) and speed (4.42) to be a high 1st round pick.
10. Vikings – David Amerson, CB, NC State. Keep an eye on his matchup with Tennessee WR Justin Hunter. A big win from Amerson would be an early statement that he’s the best cover corner in the country.
11. Titans – Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State. Should have a monster season given the easy schedule and FSU’s strong front seven.
12. Jets – Eric Reid, S, LSU. I know they need offensive playmakers (and probably a QB). And Marcus Lattimore will be enticing since I don’t see them re-signing Shonn Greene. But Bell’s ancient and Landry is injury-prone.
13. Panthers – Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee. Steve Smith’s best years are behind him, and you’ve got to keep Cam Newton happy.
14. Buccaneers – Sean Porter, LB, Texas A&M. Weak linebacker class, but the Bucs’ biggest need on defense is in the middle.
15. Broncos – Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama. Would make a nice partner inside for Ty Warren.
16. Chargers– Robert Woods, WR, USC. Rivers probably won’t like life without Vincent Jackson.
17. Falcons – Marcus Lattimore, RB, South Carolina. Time to start preparing for life after Michael Turner, who turns 31 in February.
18. Steelers – EJ Manuel, QB, Florida State. Surprised? He’s in the Big Ben mold. Nobody seems to “stash” QBs anymore, but with the pounding Big Ben has taken, the Steelers should start thinking about it.
19. Eagles – Logan Thomas, QB, Virginia Tech. I know Philly fans are enamored with Nick Foles, but a lot of guys can look good in a couple preseason games. Thomas has far more upside.
20. Cowboys – Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas. QB controversy? Sounds silly coming off Romo’s best year as a pro, but who else is there for Jerry to blame?
21. Chiefs – Tyler Bray, QB, Tennessee. Matt Cassel is the only thing holding the Chiefs back.
22. Saints – Shayne Skov, LB, Stanford.
23. Bills – Terrance Williams, WR, Baylor. The most surprising note here is that by drafting this low, it means the Bills will be in the – gasp! – playoffs.
24. 49ers – Denard Robinson, WR, Michigan. I’m going to toss Shoelaces in the first round of every mock draft this season, just so you’re aware.
25. Ravens – Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State. Throw a dart at the defensive depth chart and pick a spot that needs an injection of youth.
26. Bears – Barrett Jones, OL, Alabama. Will sound even better when Jay Cutler gets knocked out of another playoff game.
27. Bengals – Taylor Lewan, OL, Michigan.
28. Lions – Johnthan Banks, CB. An absolute steal if he falls this far. After Rogers torches the Lions three times this season, everyone will get this one right in their mock draft.
29. Texans – Alex Okafor, DE, Texas. You can never have enough depth on the defensive line, right?
30. Giants – Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame. Just what Eli Manning needs – another weapon!
31. Patriots – Chase Thomas, LB, Stanford.
32. Packers – TJ McDonald, S, USC. Super Bowl champs think about replacing Charles Woodson, who turns 36 in October.