We rebounded with a 4-2 mark last week. Here are some picks for the final regular season weekend.
Alabama (-7) vs. Georgia: Georgia has looked awesome since the Florida game. They’ve played no one. Alabama should have more success against Aaron Murray than Johnny Football. The Dawgs’ QB completed 42 percent of his passes, amassed 259 yards total and had a 1-4 TD to INT ratio in two games against Florida and South Carolina. They should also stop the run, ranking No. 1 nationally allowing just 2.36 yards per carry.
Alabama should also gain traction against Georgia’s offense. They are by far the best offense Georgia has faced. The Dawgs have given more than 600 yards on the ground the past two weeks. The Yellow Jackets only scored 10 points, but took eight of 11 drives into Georgia territory. Georgia has the talent. They don’t have the discipline and the Tide should hold onto the ball. We like Alabama to win by two scores. .
Wisconsin (+3) vs. Nebraska: The Badgers have lost five games this season, by a combined six points in regulation. The Cornhuskers have skated their way through the Big Ten, without really impressing against a good opponent. This was a field goal game in Lincoln in September. Wisconsin is playing much better football. They’ll be angry after three overtime losses in four weeks. Like last year, Beilema avenges a close loss in the title game. Wisconsin goes to a third-straight Rose Bowl.
UCLA (+8) at Stanford: Stanford is due for a letdown, coming off three tough, must-win games in a row against Oregon State, at Oregon and at UCLA. They have been far better against the spread on the road, than at home. This line dropped to (-8) despite opening at (-10) and the majority of the money coming in on Stanford. The game last week was closer than the score suggested. UCLA should be more motivated. The back to back effect may just be weird. We like a tight Stanford win, so we’ll take the points.
Texas (+11) at Kansas State: Texas’ defense has played much better the past four weeks. Not having to play Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Oklahoma and Baylor on consecutive weekends might have something to do with that. Kansas State is coming off a bye, a bye that gave them two weeks to ponder a rough performance that coughed away a BCS title shot. Collin Klein has not looked great since getting injured. The Longhorns at least keep it close.
Connecticut (+5) vs. Cincinnati: The Huskies are at home, still have bowl eligibility to play for and have a top 10 yards per play defense adept at knot allowing big plays. They should be confident, coming off two strong wins against Pitt and Louisville. Cincinnati has looked shaky on the road at points this season. Even with a win, their BCS Bowl case in a shared Big East title scenario is improbable. They also have been blown out on their last two trips to East Hartford. This has a 17-14 feel to it, like many UConn games. We’ll take the points.
[Photo via Presswire]