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Commenter NFL Mock Draft 2013: No Quarterbacks in the First Round

A Star is Drafted

The Commenter Mock Draft, 2013 Edition returns, with the inmates running the asylum. While draft experts debate the quarterbacks, no one here was willing to make a pick of a quarterback when they were in the clock. I doubt that is how the actual draft unfolds. Here, in all its concise goodness, are the picks from our commenters. Special thanks to commenters Vez for organizing and A.P. for putting the comments and picks together.

1. Kansas City – Eric Fisher, LT, Central Michigan 

With the uncertainty of incumbent left tackle Brandon Albert’s future with the team and the release of right tackle Eric Winston, tackle is the most likely option. Fisher appears to have more upside than Luke Joeckel. I don’t think it’s a lock, partly because drafting a tackle with the first pick so you can trade a player of similar ability for a second round pick doesn’t seem to make a ton of sense (the word on both Joeckel and Fisher is they’re likely good, but not elite, left tackles). Would the cash savings (around $4 mil) be worth it? Also, both Andy Reid’s and John Dorsey’s previous organizations seemed to prefer drafting defensive players in the first round, so I could see a surprise here, with Star Lotulelei, Sharrif Floyd, and Dion Jordan as options. Ideally, the Chiefs would trade down to acquire more picks. If they think two of the Jaguars/Raiders/Eagles like Geno Smith enough, they could draft him and force a bidding war between the teams. [Daniel Stave]

Related: The Chiefs With the Worst Smoke Screen Ever? Now “Fascinated” By Geno Smith

2. Jacksonville – Star Lotulelei, DL, Utah 

There isn’t much consensus on what the Jaguars are going to do with this pick but they do get tagged as the least talented team in the league. Star Lotulelei is the best player in the draft and fills a lot of holes all by his lonely. Now that his medical red flag had been cleared, I think it’s safe to put him back in the top 5 where he was before the combine. The Jags are saying they’re down to two guys for this pick and my guess is that the other guy is Dion Jordan. I like Geno Smith but I think Jacksonville is an awful fit for him. Ideally he should go to Phoenix and ride the pine for at least a year. Star can play in pretty much any system and should be a starter from day one.  [starkweather]

Related: Jaguars GM Says Jacksonville is Down to Two Players at No. 2 in the Draft. Is Geno Smith One of Them?

3. Oakland – Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M 

Much like the 49ers draft in 2004, the Raiders need to trade down multiple times and acquire picks. They just need to make sure they don’t end up with Rashaun Woods. If they stay at #3, prognosticators seem to think it is Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida, but if the draft goes like this, Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M is the pick. RT was a mess last year, and as Jason Lisk points out, this may not be a bad plan. Raiders LT Veldheer is a free agent after the season.  [Babar]

4. Philadelphia – Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida 

Should be able to step right in and play opposite Fletcher Cox, not sold on Geno Smith as a franchise QB; wanted Joeckel but since he is gone, Floyd is the pick. [Ty_Webb]

5. Detroit – Ziggy Ansah, DE, BYU  

The Lions are too dumb and inept to entertain trading down. With both of the top LTs off the board, The Lions go Lions and select freak athlete project Ziggy Ansah. Eat shit Hillbilly, no help for you this round! The Lions can afford to pass on Millner since he’s not a truly elite secondary prospect in addition to the depth and quality CB’s that should be available in the 2nd and 3rd rounds.  [Vladimir Crouton]

6. Cleveland – Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State 

Everyone and their mother (especially the mothers) has Dee Milliner slated as the top CB in the draft, but I cannot shake visions of him needing floaty Denard Robinson passes against Michigan because he was beaten by a QB playing his first game at WR, Devin Gardner.  Here’s what bugs me about Milliner…Nick Saban’s shuffle technique and his stiffness when backpedaling. Rhodes is bigger, smoother in coverage, much better at jamming WRs at the line of scrimmage and, athletically, in the same class as Milliner.  Wouldn’t be upset at all with the ‘Bama CB being drafted here, but I’d be happy with Rhodes at 6 and be even happier if Miami or San Diego trades up, since there’s a decent chance he’ll be there outside the top 10. [spencer096]

7. Arizona – Chance Warmack, G, Alabama 

With the trade for Carson Palmer, the Cardinals took themselves out of the running for a first round QB. The biggest hole on the team is on the O-Line, and while Lane Johnson looks like a sexier pick, the interior line is a much bigger area of need. Warmack is a day 1 starter and makes the center and whichever tackle he’s next to look better. I know guards don’t get drafted in the top ten, but this guy is a mauler and is not only BPA at 7 but also fills a major need. [Smallie Bigs]

Dion Jordan will take a pay cut if he goes to Buffalo8. Buffalo – Dion Jordan, OLB, Oregon 

The most pressing need (aside from a miraculous presence at QB) for the Bills is a defensive presence at LB.  Nick Barnett? Cut. Shawne Merriman? Useless for the Bills and now retired.  The linebacking core is the weakness of this Bills team as they were shredded in the short-passing game and outside runs.  Buffalo could take one of many linebackers at this spot but Jordan is rated as best available and his speed will be a good addition to a defense that needs outside pressure to take the load off the defensive line.  If the Bills take Matt Barkley, they may as well just forfeit the next five seasons.  [A.P.]

9. New York Jets – Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama 

The Jets have one of the most anemic rosters in the entire NFL. They should take the best player available, and assuming they trade Revis to TB, will have a gaping hole to fill at CB. Insert Milliner, who many pegged as a top 5 pick only a month ago. As a 3 year starter, he amassed 6 INTs and 38 pass break ups. The Jets have many pressing needs, but can not pass up the opportunity to draft a Revis replacement. [kazzy the kid]

10. Tennessee – Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee 

The Titans are the league’s least interesting team desperate for for some sex appeal and excitement. They are also among the least talented so virtually any pick at any position makes sense. I love Eddie Lacy here as he is the most underrated player on the board and Chris Johnson is (pretty much) done. Lacy is a move the chains back that would take pressure off of Locker and keep that horrid defense off the field. But, we might be able to get him in round two. Cordarrelle Patterson is a celestial talent akin to Randy Moss and would provide multiple Holy Shit moments. Since Kenny Britt is seemingly predestined to serve time, I would love to pull the trigger here. However, Patterson is extremely raw—doesn’t have great hands and runs terrible routes—and there is no one on the roster to get him the ball anyway. So now on my third edit and with chalk picks Warmack and Milliner scooped up, its time for a skill position player and away from the hogs. Patterson is the reach pick to hopefully sell tickets.  [TNCOWBOY7]

Related:Cordarrelle Patterson Scored an 11 on the Wonderlic, and Tavon Austin Got a 7, According to a Report

11. San Diego – Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma 

The Chargers are about 12 months away from declaring “hard broke” status. They need talent infusions and production on both sides of the ball. Many San Diego-centric blogs and media folk think Johnson will be available at number 11, and those folk think he would be a good fit on an offensive line that was injured and ineffective in ’12.  [Some Random Old Dude]

12. Miami – Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri 

Hoping to fill the void left by Jake Long, who left via FA to the St. Louis Rams, the Dolphins had hoped to grab one of the top OT’s in this year’s draft.   Once these top tackles had left the board, Miami turned its attention to their defensive line.  Randy Starks and Paul Soliai are contracted thru the season and will be free agents in 2014. Wanting to address this possible future need now, MIA looks to Richardson to provide some nice depth at the defensive line this season.  [Caribou]

13. Tampa Bay Jets via Tampa – Sylvester Williams, DT, North Carolina 

Though there’s a good chance this pick gets traded (Hi Revis!), there is a nice confluence for the Bucs here between need and best available. Right now, Tampa Bay only has one DT on the roster and Williams is the best player left on the board. His explosiveness off the ball should help the mediocre Tampa pass rush. [Jim]

Tavon Austin14. Carolina – Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia 

Cam Newton needs help offensively, and Austin paired with Steve Smith would be dynamic. The top DTs are off of the board, and reaching for a Datone Jones wouldn’t make sense. Factor in Steve Smith’s age, and you have an offensive weapon for Cam for a good amount of time.  [HuskerDawg]

15. New Orleans – Barkevious Mingo, DE, LSU 

Heldover waited too long to comment so A.P. figures Heldover picked Mingo based on the Saints terrible defense (thanks Gregggggg Williams!!), Mingo going to LSU, and him having a cool name.  [A.P. as default proxy for Heldover]

16. St. Louis – Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas  

I was prepared to continue the Rams tradition of passing on the WR that they desperately need, but with both Austin and Patterson gone, that option wasn’t available anyway. Regardless, the pick was going to be Vaccaro. The Rams have a huge hole at Safety with both of last year’s starters leaving and Vaccaro is the best Safety available in this draft. They have built a respectable defensive line and with this pick of Janoris Jenkins last year and Vaccaro this year, they are on their way to having a respectable defensive backfield, as well.  [roarke49]

17.  Pittsburgh – Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia 

James Harrison isn’t walking through that door, and that door isn’t going to hold the ever-loving crap out of him yet not get called for it. The Steelers need a lot of work and if the receivers taken above are all gone I expect them to look to replace the pass rushing of Harrison. Jones is an insane talent, but questions remain over whether his boneitis will hinder his career. High risk high reward, and if he’s here at seventeen he would likely be the leader in the “most talented player on the board” clubhouse, the potential to get a league leading pass rusher at this spot makes it a no-brainer. [moleman in the morning]

18. Dallas – DJ Fluker, T, Alabama 

I don’t think this pick is right because I don’t think he’ll be available here but Chance Warmack is already gone in this version of the draft so here we are. A lot of people have Kenny Vaccaro or Eric Reid going here but for whatever reason I trust the other people that say the Cowboys want to go OL. The way the rookie wage scale works out, the better $ play is always going to be a T, a QB, or a DL early in the draft so here’s to the new market inefficiencies in football. My guess with Fluker is that he gets moved inside in spite of his size because he’s not particularly athletic but he’s getting drafted as a tackle.  [starkweather]

19. New York Giants – Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State 

With Osi gone to Atlanta and Tuck playing like a shell of his old self last season, there suddenly is a need at the defensive end position for the Giants. A once elite pass rushing unit vastly underproduced in 2012. Bjoern Werner would be a steal at this pick. While the Giants clearly have needs on the offensive line and everywhere on the defensive side of the ball, of all teams they know how much a strong pass rush can mask deficiencies in the back end of their defense. To be successful they need to get back to harassing the quarterback the way they did in 07-11. Also, with the division featuring three quarterbacks that excel outside of the pocket, speed and athleticism on the edge is crucial. Werner appears to be a guy that could make an immediate impact in the NFL and would be an excellent fit for Big Blue.  [Dawgfather]

20. Chicago – Alec Ogletree, LB, Georgia 

Bears may have waited too long to replenish their LB corps with star possibilities rather than band-aids, but they can anchor with Ogletree, a playmaker whose main drawback is off the field trouble. We’ll see how tolerant Phil Emery and Marc Trestman are with character issues. [vez]

21.Cincinnati – Matt Elam, S, Florida 

Cincinnati is relatively solid everywhere except at SS and LB; and with 33 year olds Chris Crocker & Nate Clements both unsigned, and Taylor Mays being terrible at football, the selection is Matt Elam. Last year, the Bengals drafted 6’3 DB Dre Kirkpatrick in part because of his potential to play safety, but he has yet to make any impact on the field whatsoever. Kenny Vaccaro isn’t worth trading up for, and Elam has a lot of upside despite being only 5’8. He’s good in both zone and man coverage, and can make plays deep; but his physicality is his best attribute.  [Jose Pippen]

Keenan Allen is a wanted man by somebody22. St. Louis – Keenan Allen, WR, California 

I wanted to take Ogletree here – he would fit nicely alongside Laurinaitis, but, typical for the Rams, the guy they want is taken two picks before them. Instead, they finally try and fill their WR hole with Keenan Allen. Allen may be a bit of a risk this high due to his knee injury, but when healthy he played like a first round pick and the Rams have shown a willingness to take risks for the chance at impact talent (see: Janoris Jenkins).  [roarke49]

23. Minnesota – Arthur Brown, LB, Kansas State 

The Vikings defense has a gaping hole at MLB, but thankfully Brown is a great fit. Coming off back to back seasons of 100+ tackles at K-State, Brown is fundamentally sound with excellent instincts who recognizes quickly. The knock on him is that he’s too small (6’1″, 236 lbs.), but his smarts more than make up for it. He’d be a fantastic compliment to fellow heady players Kevin Williams and Harrison Smith. I see him as a London Fletcher type who can hang around for over a decade.  [s1rweeze]

Related: 2013 NFL Draft: Minnesota Has 23rd & 25th Picks, Should the Vikings Take Two Receivers?

24. Indianapolis – Datone Jones, DE, UCLA

Whatever you might think about the targets of GM Ryan Grigson’s very un-Colts-like spending spree in Free Agency this offseason, there can be little doubt that he has upgraded the overall talent level of the team at every targeted position, putting him in a position where he doesn’t have to reach for a need and can instead target the BPA. I was originally targeting a WR here to groom as Wayne’s eventual replacement, but I think with Heyward-Bey on board, that can be put off for another year. RB is also tempting – particularly with Eddie Lacy still out there, but i think they could trade down into the 2nd and still pick him up rather than spending another 1st on an RB – and the revamped O-Line probably buys the Vick/Brown combo another year to see what they can do with, you know, actual blocking.  Given that, I went with Datone Jones (DE, UCLA).  I think even the most positive-thinking Colts fan knows that Jerry Hughes is a bust and Cory Redding isn’t getting any younger.  Having Jones in the fold gives them the flexibility to spell Redding and Hughes while giving Jones time to learn the ropes in both areas.  [Hail Leroy]

25. Minnesota- Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington  

The Vikings were thin at CB last year, and the offseason didn’t help.  Cutting Antoine Winfield left a gaping hole at the position.  Trufant’s not the hitter and tackler that Winfield was, but when you need a CB you need a CB. He’s not a ball hawk, but will have no problem with playing on run defense.  A great athlete who, flaws and all, will have a very good chance of jumping directly into the NFL and being a quality starter. [HawkEye]

These two officials prepare to sit on Margus Hunt's lap and tell him what they want for Christmas26. Green Bay – Margus Hunt, DE, SMU 

Despite an 11-5 record, the Packers have quite a few holes to fill. With no elite talent available, Center will likely be addressed later, perhaps as early as the 2nd round. They look at Menelik Watson (OT) as an option in this mock draft, although there is a good chance he is gone at this point in the real world version…and decide to take the first Estonian off the board. Margus Hunt, DE, SMU is an athletic specimen (2006 gold medalist at the World Junior Championships in shot put and discus) that they can plug in as a five-technique in a 3-4 defense. This 6’8” dude blocked 17 kicks in college…that’s a weapon any special teams coach would love to have in his arsenal. Margus will also perform all Gatorade baths using his shot put technique.  [Babar]

27. Houston – DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson 

If you ever spent more than 2 seconds watching the Texans play you would know that outside of Andre Johnson and Arian Foster there is no one on their offense that can scare a defense.  So going against conventional Smithiak logic, the Texans pick only the third, first round, skill position player in their history.  DeAndre Hopkins, while not a burner, is a jitterbug, open field runner that the Texans have always needed and although he lacks “long” speed it will not be a problem because Matt Schaub cannot throw more than 30 yards.  Despite his unfortunate first name, Deandre Hopkins will thrill Houston Texan fans for years to come.  [Black]

Related: Trashed Hotel Room at the NFL Combine – the One with Poop & Urine All Over the Place – Belonged to DeAndre Hopkins & Mark Harrison [UPDATE]

28. Denver – Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M 

#18 has repeatedly shown that he can pile up the yards, TD’s and wins, regardless of who he is throwing to (and, in some of his seasons with the Colts, regardless of who might be trying to block in front of him).  What was a continual struggle outside of the ‘06/’07 playoffs and everything prior to Dwight Freeney’s sprained ankle in 2010 was having a defense who could stop the other team.  But with the signing of Wes Welker plus a healthy defense, The Broncos appeared set on both side of the ball.  Then, L’affair de Dumerville happened and a gaping hole was left at DE for John Elway to address.  With Werner off the board to the Giants, Damontre Moore (DE, Texas A&M) is my choice here, giving the Broncos a 3-down end who can play both the run and get pressure on the murderer’s row of QB’s in the AFC West.  [Hail Leroy]

29. New England – Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise State 

The Patriots only have 5 picks in the 2013 draft, and with this supposedly being a very deep draft in the second and third rounds, it would surprise no one if they trade this pick to grab another second round pick this year (Cincy and Philly are logical trade partners).  If they do keep the pick, the three main areas of need are the secondary, the pass rush, and wide receiver.  Belichick doesn’t draft wide receivers in the first round (only once, when he was in Cleveland), and the Patriots are counting on Dont’a Hightower and Chandler Jones to amp up their performance to help the pass rush.  If Desmond Trufant falls to them at 29, he would be a logical choice.  However, he will most likely be off the board at that point, so Jamar Taylor from Boise makes sense. Decent size, good speed, and a good all-around corner.  [Pastor of Muppets]

30. Atlanta – Tank Carradine, DE, FSU 

Dimitroff bets on modern medical wizards and takes a player coming off of a torn ACL. Atlanta needs a pass rush in a bad way, and if Carradine falls this far they’ll be thrilled to be able to pair him with Osi. [HuskerDawg]

31. San Francisco – Jonathan Cyprien, S, Florida International 

You could argue that defensive line is a greater need, but my guess is that the Niners can address that with their first pick in the 2nd round.  From all the reports I’ve seen, Cyprien has the ability to start day one.  He’s a ball hawk with speed and allegedly a good tackler, which is what Dashon Goldson was, but only at times.  Craig Dahl isn’t starting at safety, and I don’t really feel like anyone else on the roster is either, which propels this to #1 on the pressing needs list.  And no, they aren’t trading up, no matter how many picks they have.  [jck49er]

32. Baltimore – Eric Reid, S, LSU 

The Ravens would be wise to trade out of this spot given the depth and number of coveted players still remaining – there’s no shortage of mismanaged franchises willing to mortgage their draft to grab Geno Smith or Matt Barkley. Draft experts believe Baltimore goes with Kevin Minter (LSU) or Manti Te’o (Mars) to replace its depleted inside LB corps, but Ozzie’s track record screams best available player, and that’s Eric Reid. Tough and talented, the former Tiger plays with a nasty edge that’s more than welcome in Baltimore. More importantly, he fills a major need on defense. With Ed Reed off to not tackle anyone in Houston and Pollard inexplicably released, the Ravens desperately need a great (not good) safety to shore up that secondary for the next decade. Reed is gone. Long live Reed. [QueeferSutherland]

Previously: Mocking the 2013 NFL Mock Drafts: A Second Level Look at Tiers and Players

[photo via USA Today Sports Images]

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