College Football 2014 Win Total Unders: Arizona State, Florida, Louisville, Northwestern, Texas A&M

Yesterday, we looked at teams that could hit the over on their win total. Here are five teams that could hit the under in 2014.

Arizona State Sun Devils [7.5]

Home: Weber State, UCLA, Stanford, Utah, Notre Dame, Washington State
Away: New Mexico, Colorado, USC, Washington, Oregon State, Arizona

The Sun Devils lose a lot on defense from last season. They have an unforgiving schedule. Five conference road games this year, including trips to USC, Washington, Oregon State and Arizona. Two of their four conference home games are UCLA and Stanford. They face Notre Dame non-conference. Three wins you may mark in pen. The Sun Devils would need to find five more.

Florida Gators [7.5]

Home: Idaho, Eastern Mich, Kentucky, LSU, Missouri, South Carolina, Eastern Kentucky
Away: Alabama, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Florida St.
Neutral: Georgia

Florida should be better. That may not be enough against their schedule. The Gators play five of the Top 13 in the initial coaches poll. Three of those games (Alabama, FSU, Georgia) are away from home. Missouri and Tennessee are not nailed down wins. They have a road trip to Vandy sandwiched between Georgia and South Carolina. Their offense is a concern with Jeff Driskel. Another injury…

Louisville Cardinals [8]

Home: Miami, Murray St., Wake Forest, N.C. State, Florida St., Kentucky
Away: Virginia, FIU, Syracuse, Clemson, Boston College, Notre Dame

Louisville is moving to a tougher conference, an impact we tend to underestimate. The Cardinals lose both Charlie Strong and Teddy Bridgewater. Even with them, they went 9-2 in one-score games the past two seasons, some against some rather dire teams. In 2013, Louisville beat two teams in the SRS Top 80 (Houston, Cincinnati) by one score. In 2014, they will play eight teams that finished in the Top 80 last year.

Northwestern Wildcats [7.5]

Home: Cal, Northern Illinois, Western Illinois, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Michigan, Illinois
Away: Penn State, Minnesota, Iowa, Notre Dame, Purdue

The Wildcats have four tough away trips. They play Wisconsin, Nebraska and Michigan at home. Facing the Cal and Northern Illinois offenses back to back the first two weeks could get tricky. Add in some devastating roster news. It will be hard for Northwestern to do much beyond returning to bowl play.

Texas A&M Aggies [7]

Home: Lamar, Rice, Ole Miss, ULM, Missouri, LSU
Away: South Carolina, SMU, Miss. St., Alabama, Auburn
Neutral: Arkansas

Johnny Manziel is gone. So is the core Sumlin inherited. Recent recruits may not quite be ready, in a division that leaves little margin for error. The Aggies have road trips to South Carolina, Mississippi State, Alabama and Auburn. They have to play Ole Miss, Missouri and LSU at home. Arkansas was a close game last season. A&M could be in trouble, barring substantial defensive improvement.