5 NFL Picks Against the Spread: Beware the Home Underdog?
By Jason McIntyre
Picking five NFL games against the spread each week is terribly difficult. We’re using lines from the Hilton SuperContest, and remember, 57 percent is considered good. CineSport’s Noah Coslov went 2-2-1 last week (first push of the year!) and is 30-44-1 for the season with two weeks left. Jason went 4-1 to improve to 45-30*.
The dream is dead. Noah can’t finish above .500, and I can’t finish in the ‘money’ in the Hilton (Top 30). Reality sucks.
Strange week of games. There’s jockeying for playoff spots, and a lot of games that mean absolutely nothing, unless you count the NFL draft.
There are nine home underdogs, but only two of them having winning records: Arizona (+8) vs. Seattle and Cincinnati (+3) vs. Denver. As usual, Oddssharks trends are highly recommended.
No, I’m not backing Johnny Manziel again. In fact, the Supercontest line of Cleveland -1.5 was way, way off. Now that Cam Newton is playing, the Panthers are favored by three. That’s a freebie.
If you’re wondering how I have four more wins in these videos than in the Hilton Supercontest contest, I sadly explained the reasoning here.