Here's an Amazing Stat on NFL Teams Covering the Spread on Divisional Weekend

This weekend features four teams that are considered fairly strong favorites. None of the lines is under 6 points. However, it is unlikely that all of them will cover the spread.

Adam Schefter is there to put that into some distorted perspective.

By the way, the odds that all four favorites (assuming a 50% chance to cover) would cover the spread in a given divisional weekend are 1 in 16, and this discounts the chance for a push, so it’s a little less than that. It’s actually happened twice in the last 32 years (after the 1988 and 1990 seasons), so there you go. Amazing.

If you are inclined to believe that you find witches by seeing if they float like a duck, then here’s an even more amazing one. Since the league expanded to seeding and the 16-game schedule, there has never been a single divisional weekend where the team that came alphabetically first (by city name) covered all four games. (all point spread data from Pro Football Reference).

It’s true. So while it’s true that the chances that all of Seattle, Green Bay, Denver, and New England cover are slim, I wouldn’t go down relying on Baltimore, Carolina, Dallas, and Denver in that four team parlay either. Maybe just stay away from four game parlays altogether.

*Note: you might not believe this, but that title was picked among 12 possible titles using an algorithm to get your click!