2009 MLB Projections: AL West
Baseball April 1st. 2009, 12:45pm
Previously: AL East, AL Central.
1. Seattle - What fun is it to follow the crowd? Pecota and Chone both have the Mariners less than 10 games out of first place (behind Oakland and Anaheim, respectively). We haven’t seen one prognosticator pick the Mariners, so why not? Last year Seattle was a sexy pick, but the M’s are largely considered an afterthought this season. Adrian Beltre probably has the most pop in that lineup. Sad, indeed. But what if Hernandez and Bedard are healthy? What if Morrow’s the stud everyone thinks he’ll be? [Aside: For numbers-lovers.] Because picking a sleeper is a must: 84 wins and the division title.
2. Anaheim - Someone trying to defend a longshot pick might argue this: the Angels outfield’s aging and the infield’s too young and the pitching staff overachieved last season. They’ll slip back to 82 wins and just miss the postseason.
3. Oakland - Available in every fantasy draft, and maybe even on the waiver wire: Dallas Braden. Who? He’s the A’s No. 1 starter. Billy Beane knows pitching, people. Holliday, Giambi and Nomar? At least they’ll be watchable this year. Think they’ll match the Angels with 82 wins.
4. Texas - Thinking of bringing a WILL WORK FOR PITCHING sign to the ballpark? Try WILL GROVEL FOR PITCHING. Because it’s fun to make silly predictions: Brandon McCarthy will lead the team in victories. Really like the bats, and we’ve gambled on Andrus in almost all of our fantasy leagues. Saltalamacchia is a cool last name; Salty a great nickname.
24 Responses to “2009 MLB Projections: AL West”
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April 1st, 2009 at 12:49 pm
You forgot to mention the starters on Anaheim are banged up, so they look like they are going to have a rough start to the season. Lackey might end up regretting not taking that deal.
April 1st, 2009 at 12:52 pm
Also, Morrow is coming out of the pen, so his impact isn’t going to be that great or at least not as great as if he was a starter.
April 1st, 2009 at 12:53 pm
jay buhner is good for like 40 hrs this year. and this kid alex rodriguez looks promising. and of course you have the awesome ken griffey jr.
1996′d
April 1st, 2009 at 12:55 pm
Chone?
April 1st, 2009 at 12:57 pm
This division hurts my eyes…
April 1st, 2009 at 12:57 pm
@mrejr8234
you can’t 1996 it without mentioning the steady hitting machine, Edgar Martinez!
April 1st, 2009 at 12:58 pm
chone
http://www.baseballprojection.com/2009standings.htm
April 1st, 2009 at 12:58 pm
mrejr, what about Brett Boone? When is he finally going to break out and show some power?
April 1st, 2009 at 12:59 pm
my bad jay. i knew something was missing.
April 1st, 2009 at 1:01 pm
TBL, can you includethis in your Lost post tomorrow?
April 1st, 2009 at 1:03 pm
st. bear as we all now brett is about 5 yrs away from showing some pop in his bat.
April 1st, 2009 at 1:18 pm
Rotoworld predictions for Braden: 7-9, 4.74/1.43, 92 K’s in 152 IP
Real stud there, go pick him up people. Duchscherer is the #1 starter once his elbow is healthy.
April 1st, 2009 at 1:32 pm
TBL leaves me disappointed…again.
April 1st, 2009 at 1:33 pm
Chone only has 2 teams in all of MLB winning at least 90 games? And none winning more than 90? Has this ever happened?
April 1st, 2009 at 1:34 pm
Or, he’s the biggest pussy on the planet. Gave up on his conversion to a starter because he’s not comfortable pitching out of the stretch, and he thinks that because of his diabetes it’s better for him to come out of the pen.
April 1st, 2009 at 1:36 pm
Amazing considering how much $$ the Yankees spent on getting another All Star lineup to “dominate” all the little teams.
/sarcasm’d
April 1st, 2009 at 1:37 pm
The M’s have no bullpen, no depth in the rotation, and their lineup isn’t very good beyond Ichiro, Lopez, and Beltre. They’re going to need productive years out of guys like Balienten, Clement, and Guttierez.
I’m not buying.
April 1st, 2009 at 1:39 pm
Papeldouche?
April 1st, 2009 at 1:39 pm
I meant none losing more than 90. This seems ridiculous.
April 1st, 2009 at 1:43 pm
That’s how most forecasting systems operate. They have to regress to the mean and rarely do they pick big outliers. It’s just how it works.
Clement is starting the year in AAA to “work on his catching.” He’ll probably never stick behind the plate.
Their D is very good and will be a strength. I actually like this team to go over 72 wins (Vegas total), but winning the division is going require a bunch of luck.
And Morrow in the pen is an afterthought. What a waste.
April 1st, 2009 at 1:47 pm
You mean not comfortable pitching out of the windup
April 1st, 2009 at 1:49 pm
Took the words out of my mouth.
April 1st, 2009 at 1:52 pm
Ross Gload to the M’s. Time to start thinking World Series.
April 1st, 2009 at 2:25 pm
I need a few minutes to absorb that prediction.