Grizzlies and the NBA Lottery: It’s Got to Be Al Horford, Right?
Uncategorized May 30th. 2007, 8:08pm
Not sure about you guys, but we’re having a blast with this NBA lottery discussion. If you’re late to the game, we’re breaking down the lottery team by team, thanks to your help. Memphis at No. 4 should be rather simple.
On the night of the lottery, we had a mock draft up about 10 minutes after the city of Portland went into delirium. Since that moment, Memphis has seemed like a lock for a rugged power forward like Florida’s Al Horford. He’s the perfect bruiser to complement Gasol up front. In fact, we’re so smitten with Horford, we think he has a chance to become a Karl Malone-like force in the NBA. Perhaps not a 2-time MVP and the second-leading scorer in League history, but a durable beast inside. Who might Memphis grab besides Horford?
Mike Conley would be a good fit, but we’ve got him going third to Atlanta. If he’s around … do you take him despite having Damon Stoudamire and Kyle Lowry in the mix? We love Lowry. Gritty kid from Villanova only played 10 games last year due to injury, but we see him as Earl Boykins with stronger defense and much better rebounding. And drafting Conley wouldn’t be fulfilling a need – the Grizzlies were the fifth-worst rebounding team in the NBA. Brandan Wright? Don’t think he’s the rebounder Horford is. Corey Brewer would make no sense after taking Rudy Gay last year. Yi Jianlian? Definitely wouldn’t have the immediate impact (or toughness) Horford would. Remember, this is a franchise that had made the playoffs the three years prior to the 2006 debacle.
We’re loving what the Grizzlies are putting together. The West is loaded, so any playoff talk is preposterous. But with Stoudamire tutoring Lowry for two more years, they may be set at point guard. Wildly athletic Rudy Gay could – stress could – become a McGrady-like force if he toughens up. Mike Miller’s probably overpaid at $8.2 million next year, but he’s one of the best three-point shooters in the league. And though the bench is callow, the likes of Hakim Warrick, glue-guy Brian Cardinal, out-of-nowhere scorer Tarence Kinsey, and brawny Lawrence Roberts isn’t a bad start. If they’re in need of anything, it’s probably more scoring punch off the bench (was Kinsey’s season-ending scoring binge for real?) – and we’d go after Jerry Stackhouse for low money in free agency. If Stack wants serious dough, then maybe take a run at a high-reward, low-risk guy like Travis Outlaw. Always liked his game.
18 Responses to “Grizzlies and the NBA Lottery: It’s Got to Be Al Horford, Right?”
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May 30th, 2007 at 8:16 pm
Sounds about right. And I think you’re dead on with the Horford analysis — as a Celtics fan I’m praying that A) he drops that far and B) Ainge/Rivers don’t go braindead and draft someone else.
May 30th, 2007 at 8:17 pm
Conley would be nice since nobody around here thinks Damon’s coming anywhere near 100% again after his knee problems over the last few years, but you’re right: it’s gotta be Horford.
We’ve been dying for a physical and strong PF or C to take some of the load off of Pau, and Horford is it with a winning history to boot!
Horford to the Grizz. Book it. (Barring a trade… we all saw the draft last year!)
May 30th, 2007 at 8:22 pm
Is it just me or do I see this being at best a 4 man draft? Oden, Durant, Brewer, Conley/Horford. Gasol and Horford would make a pretty good front-court, but I think you’re overstating Horford’s potential. I say he’s good for 15 & 9 during his peak in the league.
May 30th, 2007 at 8:30 pm
Easily the 3rd best player in the draft, Horford should be a lock for the Grizz. Gasol/Horford should win a few games, I’d hope.
I still think Horford is winning ROY, even if he ends up here.
May 30th, 2007 at 8:33 pm
Mike, he’s looks significantly better coming out of Florida than Udonis Haslem who averaged 11 and 8 this past season. Horford’s ceiling looks pretty high.
May 30th, 2007 at 8:36 pm
first of all…thanks for the Grizzlies post. Don’t see too many of those. From my Grizz fan perspective, I’d like to see B. Wright’s name called at #4.
Lots of debate over this one. Obviously Atlanta’s pick will help determine the outcome @ #4. I’ve seen the Mailman comparison with Horford a few other places…and just don’t see it at all. I’d go more in the Udonis Haslem range.
Such a critical pick, though…will be interesting to look back with 20/20 hindsight.
May 30th, 2007 at 8:37 pm
Don’t forget: the Grizz also have last year’s second round pick Alexander Johnson, a 6′9 athletic beast, playing in the D. Not much of a shooter, but should be solid inside someday.
Yes, I am biased. He went to Florida State, as did I. But had he stayed in school for his Sr. year, he would have been a lottery pick as well.
May 30th, 2007 at 8:41 pm
Why he’s not Haslem: Horford as on a stacked team with three NBA players (Noah, Brewer). We never got to see the potential. He shared shots with those three, plus a ball-hog PG and a sharpshooter.
Like his baby hook, could work on his facing-the-basket game, runs the floor well, tough as shit for a college kid, and he already knows what it’s like to be a garbage guy, so chasing Gasol’s misses won’t be difficult.
May 30th, 2007 at 8:52 pm
Good point about the garbage guy…lord knows we can’t rebound for jack squat.
One could argue Wright’s potential wasn’t fully realized either, playing on that stacked UNC squad last year.
I like them both, and if Atlanta picks Wright I’d rather have Horford than either Conley or Yi.
May 30th, 2007 at 8:58 pm
It’s got to be Horford. He’d be a solid guy to build around even if Gasol leaves. I see him being able to put up Elton Brand numbers eventually.
May 30th, 2007 at 9:35 pm
wow, as a celtics fan, I PRAY the grizzlies take horford. i like brewer much better. he’s going to be a lock-down defender and offensively he’s more versatile than horford. horford is a tweener. the grizzlies can have him.
May 30th, 2007 at 9:36 pm
One plus in B. Wright’s corner: he’s from Tennessee and played high school ball in Brentwood (TN represent… 2 local boys in the draft this year! Corey Brewer is the only good thing to come out of Portland, TN)
May 30th, 2007 at 9:49 pm
I’m pretty sure you cant compare anyone to Earl Boykins unless they’re 5′9 or shorter, Kyle Lowry is six feet. As a Celtic fan, the Grizz can take Horford, he’ll never be as good as Al Jefferson is going to be.
May 30th, 2007 at 9:54 pm
Well the Celtics are up tomorrow, but with Pierce, Wally, Gerald Green, and do you really think they go Corey Brewer? Interesting. All along, I had them going Roy Hibbert, but now he’s out of the draft, so …
May 30th, 2007 at 9:56 pm
for me, its a best player available situation, TBL. i just think that brewer has a better all around game than horford.
also, i wouldnt count on wally being in green much longer.
May 30th, 2007 at 10:32 pm
Horford most likely, and it is the correct pick. But Noah would be a solid pick. Both would be better than Wright because Wright needs to be in the post to be effective and that is Gasols space.
May 31st, 2007 at 3:36 am
You can’t go wrong being a Horford whore. He should be a solid 11 and 6 guy in his first year with the Grizz, and will allow Gasol to stop posing as a post player.
May 31st, 2007 at 5:16 pm
Horford makes sense to me. The Grizz need frontcourt help badly. They also need a starting-caliber PG, so Conley could be their 2nd option.