Dipping Back into the Fantasy Baseball Mailbag
Baseball, Fantasy Sports March 5th. 2008, 3:45pm
By popular demand … the Fantasy Baseball Mailbag! It’s informative, fun, and it goes down easy, just like Cookie Crisp (the back-of-the-box puzzles are wicked tough). The Baseball Friend prattles on after the jump. Oh, and if you’ve already drafted Delmon Young, he looked impressive in taking Ian Kennedy deep over the centerfield fence today. (Yes, that is a certain USF and FSU fan to your right.)
Continued thanks to everyone who has been writing in. I’m only going to do one question today as it has a long (well, long even for me,) answer and is divided into two parts. As always, you can email me any questions. Onto the communication:
Q: Will writes: Hey TBF – I’m in a H2H league and having trouble finding rankings for this format. Do you think you could post a top 10 by position with an eye toward H2H? Maybe top 15 for Outfielders? I actually think your answers are better then ESPN! No pressure but I will probably use your lists as my cheat sheet this year. Thanks!
TBF: Thanks for writing in, Will. TBF feels no pressure! I have ice in my veins.
After careful consideration and a consult w/TBL, I’ve decided against actually doing a rankings post. I feel like there are so many sites/mags that do this, why add one more to the mix? I mean, you don’t need me to tell you that Pujols, Howard, Fielder, Tex and Morneau are the top 5 1Bs in the draft (even if I wouldn’t draft Pujols under just about any circumstances this year.) That said, I’ll answer your question in 2 parts. 1. Guys I seem to like more than others at certain positions and 2., a few thoughts on the difference between how you draft roto vs. H2H.
Here are some guys that I have ranked higher than most:
C: Mike Napoli. I know his AVG is an issue and if you’ve already drafted Adam Dunn, you probably can’t also carry Napoli and finish respectably in BA. But the power is real (I think only V Mart, McCann and Posada will out-homer him at the position,) and he’ll even throw in 5-10 SB, which is huge at catcher. I think he’s a top 10 C and he’s not being ranked/drafted as such.
1B: Ryan Garko. He hits for AVG, has decent power and is in a great lineup. The only thing that could possibly keep his RBI total under 100, barring injury, is the fact that while awesome, V Mart and Hafner aren’t the fleetest of foot and probably won’t be scoring for 1st on any of his many doubles. Still, I think he’s .290, 30, 100 and after you get out of the first/second tier, who is giving you that?
2B: BJ Upton. I’ve talked about this before in this space, but he should not, under any circumstances fall out of the 2nd round. He is 30/30 from 2B AND the OF and just coming into his prime. Last year was not a fluke. He was always supposed to be this good. Think Grady Sizemore. If Sizemore were eligible at 2B in addition to the OF, would he be going in the late 2nd/early 3rd round? No. No he wouldn’t. Neither should Upton.
3B: Edwin Encarnacion. He’s going to be more valuable than Adrian Beltre this year. I have him 10th after the big 6, Figgins, Zimmerman and Chipper (although you could argue Chipper’s injury stuff would put him below him.) He hits for AVG (over .300 after his call back up last year,) the power is coming (I’m guessing 25 homers, especially in that park,) and he’ll steal 10 bases. Think Scott Rolen in his almost prime (obviously not with the glove, though.)
SS: Um…everyone? The position hasn’t been this deep since…well, ever, really. That said, I like Jhonny Peralta quite a bit. I think he’s easily .280, 20 HR and 85 RBI. Historically, you’d have been psyched to get that from your SS. But I don’t see a way that he even ends up in the top 10 at the position this year without Tejada and Furcal getting hurt/indicted (in no particular order. Furcal could go on a massive killing spree for all we know.) I’m not there yet, but I’m almost at the point of recommending you not draft people like Michael Young and Carlos Guillen. They’re both excellent options, of course, but the drop off between them and guys like Peralta isn’t as much as say the drop off in SP between guys like Verlander/Sabathia (being drafted around where Young and Guillen are,) and say, Derek Lowe (being drafted around where Peralta is.) In fact, I just convinced myself. Don’t draft Young or Guillen. Take a top pitcher instead and get your SS later. If you don’t get one of the big 3 (Hanley, Rollins or Reyes,) or get Jeter or Tulo at market value (late 3, early 4 on Jeter, mid-late 4 on Tulo,) wait to draft a SS.
OF: I’ll throw a few at you:
Bobby Abreu. Had a ROUGH start last year, but still hit a decent .283 with 15 homers, 25 SB, 101 RBI and 123 runs scored. That’s right, 123 runs scored! He’s got the coziest lineup spot in the Majors, still gets on base and is playing for his last contract. He’s about as valuable as Grady Sizemore, but is going 2 rounds later. Take him in the 3rd.
Delmon Young: He’s .300, 20/20 and if he keeps hitting 5th behind Mauer and Morneau as he has early this Spring, he’s going to drive 100 runs in. He’s going in the 9/10 rounds, but he should be going in the 7th. Grab him in the 8th and be psyched.
Michael Bourn: He’s Juan Pierre minus 25 points of AVG. He’s going 9-10 rounds later than Pierre, though and while Pierre has the possibility of losing AB to guys like Kemp and Ethier, Bourn is going to play every day. He’s my pick to lead the NL in SB. I don’t love drafting speed only guys (more on this in a bit,) but there’s real value here.
Nate McClouth: He won’t hit for AVG and the Pirate’s lineup does kinda suck, but assuming he wins the CF job (he should,) he’s good for 15 HR and 30 SB. He’s going in the 23-25 round and that doesn’t make any sense to me.
SP: Matt Cain. Do you have any idea how unlucky this guy was last year? His bullpen sucked, his lineup sucked…well, actually, they still kinda do, but the won/loss record last year was way out of whack with his numbers. I’d rather have him than Roy Oswalt, though, who is going 5-6 rounds higher.
Andy Pettitte: This one really becomes an issue of whether or not you think his head will explode. Personally, I don’t think it will. He’s already distancing himself from Clemens, and anyone who has watched his career knows how competitive he is. I think he’s going to find a way to harness the negativity and feel he has something to prove. There’s no real upside here, but 15-16 wins, and ERA under four and decent K numbers are very useful. He’s going way lower than he should be. Draft him where you think Andy Pettitte should be drafted, minus the mental stuff.
RP: Matt Capps. I for the most part agree that you don’t need to draft the “top” guys to compete in saves. Capps has a lock on the job, and honestly, he’ll be just as valuable as Huston Street or Bobby Jenks or Jose Valverde who are all going 5 or so rounds ahead of him.
As for Roto vs. H2H, there are fewer differences than you think. You should still load up on hitters early as regardless of format, they are more reliable/projectable than pitchers. However, I do believe that pitching should be valued more in an H2H league. Remember, to do well in a H2H league, you have to be good EVERY week. Sure, depending on your league rules, you can roll a few pitchers and pile up Ks and hopefully Wins, but it’ll kill your ratios (if these guys were that good, they wouldn’t be on your waiver wire.)
I think in an H2H format, you must have at least 3 top level pitchers to win, whereas in the Roto format, you can do with 1-2. Consistency is everything. Remember, in H2H, you have the option to sit guys a lot more than you do in Roto. In Roto, you’re compiling as many stats as you can, but in H2H, you just have to beat your opponent that week. That emphasizes quality over quantity. If you have 2-3 top pitchers, you can just roll them early in the week and if they do what they’re capable of, you can avoid using lesser guys as you should have your ratios locked up with a good shot at W and K as well. To this end, make sure you get a top SP in the first 5 rounds in H2H.
Also, relievers are more valuable in H2H. Adding and extra 2-3 ip a week from a guy like Carlos Marmol makes a huge difference in your ERA/WHIP and adds a few Ks as well. Make sure you have 3 guys getting saves and at least one strong middle reliever (think Rafael Betancourt,) to keep your ratios down and Ks up.
Finally, I always make sure I have one speed specialist in H2H. Someone like a Michael Bourn or Willy Taveras or even Dave Roberts. As we all know, speed doesn’t slump and if you’re in a tight race on a given week, it’s great to have one of those guys to get you a bag or two so you can snatch away the SB category for the week.
49 Responses to “Dipping Back into the Fantasy Baseball Mailbag”
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March 5th, 2008 at 3:52 pm
Paul Lukas masterbates to that picture every night.
March 5th, 2008 at 3:56 pm
i wish i would of known she was going to be in Tampa to do promotional shit for the Rays. i could of got on my TBL t shirt and let her know how well loved she is on the site
March 5th, 2008 at 3:59 pm
I wonder if that woman ever leaves the state of Florida.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:04 pm
Hey! Damnit, there’s no kinda about any of the Pirates’ line-up sucking!
March 5th, 2008 at 4:04 pm
Joey Votto – 1B
March 5th, 2008 at 4:07 pm
Here we go again with “is she over-hyped? is she hot?” talk…..
Yes and Yes.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:08 pm
we all know who she is, but who is the friend and what does she have to offer
March 5th, 2008 at 4:11 pm
Work has the pic blocked out, but based on the size of the pic alone, I am quite confident her ears are fucked up. I wouldn’t F her with irish’s D.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:14 pm
Can we just stop this and agree that those of us with penises would do her?
Done.
thanks.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:15 pm
nick p- no nick, but you would let her stick it up your greek ass wouldnt ya
March 5th, 2008 at 4:17 pm
Ok, I checked it out on my phone and see that it’s Sterger (again).
She’s hot, and I’m proud to have her as a myspace “friend.”
March 5th, 2008 at 4:20 pm
I’d like to be in herspace.
/She’d hardly know I was there.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:20 pm
412: tell me a WOMAN that wouldn’t do her.
GuinessGirl? Sportsgal?
March 5th, 2008 at 4:20 pm
@Nick: The bitch moved to Myspace now? Didn’t she launch her psuedo-career from her Facebook page? That trick.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:22 pm
Anyone else notice how Facebook has pretty much completely replaced Myspace? Or is it just me?
March 5th, 2008 at 4:24 pm
How many people are proud to say they’ve never had a MySpace or Facebook page? Is it just me?
March 5th, 2008 at 4:26 pm
ATL: I agree. Although I havent touched my myspace in a month. and I havent done facebook.
I watched a series called “The history of the internet” last night. I think it was on the National Geographic Science channel (i think). Great stuff. I’ll see if I can find a link.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:26 pm
Why are you proud, Ben? Am I a loser because I have one? Never quite understood that argument. It’s not like it’s Dungeons and Dragons.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:26 pm
i never have ben but that is because im married. plus i think they are filled with child molesters like griswold
March 5th, 2008 at 4:28 pm
@irish: Easy irish. Besides, pederast is the proper term. Nothing is fucked here.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:28 pm
Exactly, irish… Nobody needs Chris Hansen showing up at their doorstep.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:28 pm
@Irish–I’m married too. I don’t get on there looking for ass though…just a forum for my friends and I, and to find people from high school (that I may or may not want to talk to, admittedly). But I’ll agree with you, I’m sure they’re filled with child molesters…myspace more so than facebook.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:30 pm
/fixed
March 5th, 2008 at 4:31 pm
Isn’t facebook for older types? Wasn’t it started as a college version of myspace?
March 5th, 2008 at 4:33 pm
@Hef–yes, it was started as a college networking site. It’s kind of geared at college age/20-somethings, at least in my opinion, b/c originally you had to be in college with a school email address to sign up.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:34 pm
I’d dip my fantasy malebag on her face
March 5th, 2008 at 4:34 pm
Yes Hef, Facebook started at colleges, then allowed high schoolers, and now allows everyone.
I have both MySpace and Facebook, but am partial to Facebook, I don’t get random ads and friend requests all the time on Facebook and to me Facebook is much easier to naviate.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:35 pm
Facebook came first. Myspace first started out for bands to show off their stuff. just did a better job at promoting itself and catching fire with non-music people. Facebook is all over the palce now, but Myspace still rules.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:36 pm
I’ve got a facebook profile, but only so that I can get a million requests for bullshit everyday from people who I have mistakenly made my friends.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:38 pm
Sorry Gonzo, she does nothing for me…
March 5th, 2008 at 4:40 pm
We have a winner. Mistercellaneous +1
March 5th, 2008 at 4:41 pm
Hey Irish, those pics are old anyway..the Rays changed their colors and logo for this year..
March 5th, 2008 at 4:46 pm
guiness- let me know if you and your hubby want any bucs tickets to any games next year. im trying to get rid of two games, two tickets for each game.
nick p- dont throw jabs with me nick and get mad when you get hit with an uppercut. i only bash people who bash me first and you do it every so often.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:47 pm
so it’s wrong to stalker girls on Myspace? Great. Now my therapist and I have a whole new bag of issues to deal with.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:50 pm
I’m curious if not understanding a comment is a good enough reason to get angry with it.
@asusundevil: this addiction of yours is between you and your computer. Your therapist has nothing to do with it.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:51 pm
@atlanta:
My view, and it may be antiquated, is that the entire social networking scene is a waste of time. Most of the pages I’ve seen are for people to link up as friends with people they already know. If I already know you and we communicate live, on the phone, and/or through e-mail, why do I need a site that links a page you’ve created to mine? Additionally, at least to me, MySpace and Facebook reek of faux self-actualization. Look at me! I’m on this website! Look at the songs I’ve chosen, the background I’ve used, and the pictures of me with my pet! I’m my own person!
March 5th, 2008 at 4:51 pm
Also, I would like to echo Nick’s +1 to mistercellaneous. Well played, sir.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:52 pm
Irish I just might take you up on that..let me know which ones you might be willing to part with when the time comes..
March 5th, 2008 at 4:52 pm
will do guiness. keep coming on here
March 5th, 2008 at 4:53 pm
To each his own Ben, but what you said did remind me of an episode of Family Guy where Stewie made fun of MySpace and people thinking they were showing how different they were by associating themselves with the works of others.
I don’t think I am explaining it well but I thought it was hilarious and very true,
March 5th, 2008 at 4:54 pm
I love the way she makes the other girl not only button her shirt up, but pull her hat way down over her face so as to reduce the possibility anybody looking away from her.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:57 pm
MySpace and Facebook reek of faux self-actualization. Look at me! I’m on this website!
Ben, you are absolutly right. but that’s the fun part of it.
March 5th, 2008 at 4:59 pm
@cbh:
I vaguely remember what you are talking about, in reference to the Family Guy scene. I wouldn’t be shocked at all by that because I tend to agree with the majority of social commentary made in that show.
March 5th, 2008 at 5:00 pm
@cbh: “Brad Pitt…who the devil do the kids like…Morgan Freeman”
March 5th, 2008 at 5:02 pm
Morgan Freeman lol. I remember that.
+1 Nick
March 5th, 2008 at 5:04 pm
That reminds me of the recent episode where the Monopoly Man was taken advantage of by the Sisters.
March 5th, 2008 at 5:07 pm
“time for our daily community service rupert” – stewie then shoots a hooker leaving quagmire’s house.
March 6th, 2008 at 12:25 pm
Actually myspace is a lot older than facebook. it started around 2000, where facebook was launched in 2004.
March 6th, 2008 at 12:28 pm
Wow, we’re back on this post are we. Fine, I’ll add to the fire.