Bubble Watch: San Diego In, Illinois St. Out
College Basketball March 11th. 2008, 4:44pm
Felt it easiest to simply copy and paste our list from yesterday, and to cross out teams we think are out, and underline new additions. Guess we’ll do this at the end of each day this week. Consider today the soundcheck before the live performance. Syracuse-Villanova open the Big East tourney tomorrow.
Today’s additions: San Diego in via the automatic bid. Illinois St. out.
Tonight’s action: Butler vs. Cleveland St., with the winner getting an automatic bid from the Horizon League. Bubble teams (that’s you Miami, Syracuse, Ole Miss and Kentucky) will be praying for Butler, which has a bid locked up either way. Middle Tenn. St. plays Western Kentucky for the Sun Belt title, and though Western Kentucky is a bubble team, it probably won’t get in with a loss here.
ACC: UNC, Duke, Clemson (3)
America East: MD Baltimore County (1)
Atlantic Sun: Belmont (1)
A-10: Xavier, Dayton, Massachusetts (3)
Big East: Georgetown, Louisville, Connecticut, Notre Dame, Marquette, Pittsburgh, Syracuse (7)
Big Sky: Portland St. (1)
Big South: Winthrop (1)
Big 10: Wisconsin, Purdue, Indiana, Michigan State, Ohio State (5)
Big 12: Kansas, Texas, Kansas St., Baylor, Oklahoma, Texas A&M (6)
Big West: UCSB (1)
Colonial: George Mason, VCU (2)
CUSA: Memphis (1)
Horizon: Butler (1)
Ivy League: Cornell (1)
MAAC: Rider Siena (1)
MAC: Kent. St. (1)
MEAC: Morgan St. (1)
Missouri Valley: Drake, Illinois St. (2) (1)
Mountain West: BYU, New Mexico, UNLV (3)
Northeast: Robert Morris Sacred Heart (1)
Ohio Valley: Austin Peay (1)
Pac 10: UCLA, Stanford, Washington St., USC, Arizona, Oregon (6)
Patriot: American (1)
SEC: Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Mississippi St., Mississippi, Kentucky (5)
Southern: Davidson (1)
Southland: Stephen F. Austin (1)
Summitt: Oral Roberts (1)
Sun Belt: South Alabama, Western Kentucky (2)
SWAC: Alabama St. (1)
West Coast: Gonzaga, St. Mary’s, San Diego (2) (3)
WAC: New Mexico St. (1)
28 Responses to “Bubble Watch: San Diego In, Illinois St. Out”
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March 11th, 2008 at 4:48 pm
Dayton and Ohio State both have work to do in their conference tournaments to get in.
March 11th, 2008 at 4:55 pm
tuna – who do you want to yank in favor of them?
March 11th, 2008 at 4:55 pm
as a clevelander…GO VIKINGS.
March 11th, 2008 at 4:56 pm
You’re projecting the WCC and A-10 with as many bids as the ACC. Billy Packer must be rolling over in his grave. Oops.
March 11th, 2008 at 4:58 pm
and is there anyway we can start a petition to get every SD team to change their name to the San Diahgo Whale Vaginas?
March 11th, 2008 at 4:58 pm
You continue to spite me TBL. I didn’t even notice you had Ohio State in there as well. Sigh, the life of a Razorback fan.
March 11th, 2008 at 5:02 pm
you had illinois state in before yesterday? really? i’m going to dominate you on sunday.
March 11th, 2008 at 5:04 pm
I sure hope you’re wrong about aTm.
March 11th, 2008 at 5:07 pm
And when did we get a basketball conference named after Pat Summitt?
March 11th, 2008 at 5:10 pm
i dont see the Mannish Pantsuit Wearing Coach Conference in there…
no love for the MPWCC?
March 11th, 2008 at 5:27 pm
@TBL – I think Miami (Fl.) will get in. I am a huge Dayton fan, but they are only 8-8 in the A-10. Granted they lost Chris Wright for conference play (he is dressing but probably won’t play in the conference tourney), but there are too many bad losses.
I think OSU has to (and will) beat MSU in round 1 of the Big-10 to get in.
March 11th, 2008 at 5:31 pm
I think both Ohio State and Kentucky need to win a couple games in their conference tournaments to get in. I think Arizona St, Miami, and WVU are all before Syracuse. I like TBL’s putting in three WCC teams though. That has to be a lock, right?
March 11th, 2008 at 5:37 pm
Syracuse, Ohio State, New Mexico, Kentucky out.
WVU, ASU, Miami (Fl), and I have to believe that more than one team comes out of the Missouri Valley. I just don’t know who.
March 11th, 2008 at 5:39 pm
Dayton has perhaps the most cut and dry situation of anyone. If they beat SLU and Xavier on Wednesday and Thursday, they’ll go. If not, they won’t.
March 11th, 2008 at 5:40 pm
please, please win on friday american univ.
March 11th, 2008 at 5:43 pm
@longliveriverfront: What chances do you give Dayton against Xavier (assuming they get past and around Majerus’ boys)? Even if Wright gets action, it will be very limited and I don’t see him helping much. Roberts needs to be on like he was against Pitt for the rest of the season.
March 11th, 2008 at 6:25 pm
New Mexico, Ohio sstate, Syracuse, Ole Miss out. WVU, Miami, Arkansas, Arizona State in. You can’t in good conscience put 5 teams in from the Big 10 and only 3 from the ACC when the bottom of the Big 10 has 6 teams with sub 100 RPI. If you’re going to use the rationale that Miami beat no one you have to say the same thing for any Big 10 teams who boosted their record feasting on N’Western, Michigan, Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois and Penn State.
March 11th, 2008 at 6:41 pm
You can’t in good conscience put 5 teams in from the Big 10
the bottom of the Big 10 has 6 teams with sub 100 RPI.
Not to mention that some of the same people who point out that one Big Ten team has made it past the first round in the last two years are arguing that the conference should go at least 5-deep. However, I can’t in good faith deny the top four.
March 11th, 2008 at 6:46 pm
Second round. My bad.
March 11th, 2008 at 8:05 pm
tbl has been drinking the ACC haterade all year long, no reason for him to stop now. I would think after posting the Miss/Miami comparison yesterday, he would’ve made that swap, but apparently bracketology is “subjective” as opposed to being based on some hard fast criteria. All I know is Miami barring an absolute asswhipping delivered by NCSU is dancing, period…so unless tbl is projecting a Miami loss, he’s just ACC hating again.
March 11th, 2008 at 8:16 pm
tall – oh, we’ve crunched the #’s, and right now, we simply don’t think miami is in. beat NCSU? sure. lose? they won’t be in our bracket. yours? i have no idea.
stranger things have happened on selection sunday …
March 11th, 2008 at 8:24 pm
I don’t know. Maybe it’s blind homerdom, but I like them. Marcus Johnson has rather quietly been one of the better performers in the league over the last few months, and Little seems to finally be at or near 100% with the foot. If Sandoval and Binnie stay aggressive and confident, and Perry and Searcy continue to give quality minutes in relief, I think they have a very good shot to make some major noise this weekend.
Or they could crap out and lose to SLU or get blown out by 30 against X. Who knows with that team.
March 11th, 2008 at 8:25 pm
Edit above: I meant weeks with Johnson not months…
March 11th, 2008 at 8:47 pm
Sorry, I don’t quite follow. If Miami loses, they’re out, if they win, they’re in? So as of right now, they’re out of the bracket, but if they beat the worst team in the ACC they’re in? So if you’re excluding them because they have to beat NCSU, then why is Syracuse in when they pretty much have to beat Villanova to go dancing, or why is ole Miss in now, but if they lose to Georgia they’re out. Basically, you’re either projecting a Miami loss, or you’re just being really inconsistent in applying your criteria.
Of course, you have VCU still in, a team that has a snowball’s chance in hell of making the dance, so I guess I really shouldn’t be arguing, but still, it’s the principle of the matter, and the fact that you’ve been dissing the ACC constantly this year. It’s amazing that in a down year, the ACC is still rated #3 or better in all conference rankings, continued their utter dominance of the Big 10, and posted the best by far record out of conference against BCS schools. I know conferences don’t have quotas, but to think that the ACC is getting 3 and the Big 10 and SEC are getting 5 when both are significantly inferior to the ACC is just a slap in the face. Your 4th team out of the SEC finished 7-9 in conference and got swept by the 154 RPI Auburn…and you think Miami isn’t in the field?
March 11th, 2008 at 9:05 pm
I’ve gotta agree with TBL on the ACC; there’s a chasm between UNC, Duke (as much I may hate them), Clemson and the rest of the Conference.
My quibble is with Rider – they got thoroughly smashed by Siena in the MAAC Championship game yesterday and they’re still in?
March 11th, 2008 at 9:13 pm
I had Rider as the projected winner … Siena got the auto bid
Anyone who has TBS turn on the office now … GREAT episode
March 11th, 2008 at 9:37 pm
Obama wins Mississippi…Joe Lunardi projects Hillary Clinton as the #3 seed in the Democratic party
(And I have been watching the Office since Butler is pulling away…the pilot’s on now)
March 12th, 2008 at 8:21 am
Miami (FL) in S. Alabama out. The Sun Belt should never get two schools. Who have they beaten?