Baseball Preview: AL West
Baseball March 26th. 2008, 5:14pm
You’ve seen the AL East. And the AL Central. Today, another easy-to-decipher division in the AL – the West. The Baseball Friend, who you can tell lives for baseball like we live for fruit roll-ups and haribo gummi bears, has offered to handle the prediction duties. Our fearless projections: Angels, Mariners, Rangers, A’s. We’ll summarize all of our picks Monday and offer up World Series predictions. And please leave your picks in the comments – when you mock us in September, the first thing we’ll look for are your preseason thoughts. After the jump, The Baseball Friend’s preview of the AL West.
Today we round out the AL by taking a look at the West. This appeared to be the division that everyone agreed on. The Angels were going to run away with it as the A’s had given up, Texas can’t pitch and the M’s can’t hit. Then Lackey went down (yikes.) Then Escobar went down (not a shock, but double yikes.) There aren’t too many teams in the majors that could withstand the loss of their top two starters. Imagine the Sox without Beckett and Dice. Imagine the Yanks without Wang and Pettitte. Or the D-Backs without Webb/Haren. Or the Nats without Odalis Perez and Jason Bergmann!!! You get the point. That is not a playoff team if those two miss a considerable amount of time. That said, let’s take a look.
1. Los Angeles Angels. It just came out today that Escobar is likely to miss the season (and someone on this site once wanted to debate Escobar/Bedard with me). That’s not good. Lackey is going to miss at least a month. Also, not so good. That leaves Jon Garland and Jered Weaver at the top of the rotation. Eh. Joe Saunders? Ervin Santana? The best they can hope for is that Lackey comes back in May or that uber-prospect Nick Adenhart is ready by mid-season to make a contribution. I think the latter may be more likely than the former. Still, the rest of the division doesn’t sport a more complete team and the lineup and bullpen are good. If Vlad goes down for any extended time, they’re in big trouble.
Prediction: 90 wins (assuming 25 starts from Lackey.)
2. Seattle Mariners. Talk about a team that needs Barry Bonds. I think their owner is insane for not signing him. He’s EXACTLY what they need. Bedard and Felix are the best 1-2 in the AL and Putz is as good as anyone, but they aren’t going to hit with this lineup. Ichiro is still a force and I like Beltre a bit and Sexson can’t possibly be that bad. But his team is 2-3 bats shy (or 1 Barry Bonds bat,) away from even remotely contending. A shame, too, because I wouldn’t pick against them in a playoff series with those arms.
Prediction: 82 wins
3. Texas Rangers. I like the lineup quite a bit. They obviously need to find a new home for Laird so Salty can progress in the Majors, but with Kinsler, Young and Hamilton, they have the beginnings of a very good offense. I really like Hank Blalock to begin his career revival. He had a crazy medical situation that explains a lot of his lost power. He was very good in September last year and I think can approach his 03/04 levels again this year, his age 27 year. Sadly, the team can’t pitch very well. I don’t really see Kevin Millwood being the top starter on a playoff team, do you? Brendan McCarthy might end up their no. 1 by the end of the year, but the bullpen is shaky as well. Just not enough arms there.
Prediction: 75 wins.
4. Oakland A’s. I really like Rich Harden this year. I know that’s insane, but unless he just really isn’t ever going to amount to anything, I think he’s got a real chance to be a top 10 starter in the AL this year. Nothing but gut there, really. Assuming Beane doesn’t move him and Blanton, they make a decent, if healthy 1-2. Duchsherer has always put up good numbers and if that translates to the rotation, they may have something here. I like the kid Eveland as well. I just don’t see them hitting at all this year. Travis Buck is a decent bat, Daric Barton could be ready to make a mini-leap (a hop, perhaps?) and Mark Ellis is massively underrated, but unless Bobby Crosby shows up again, I just don’t see them being anything but mediocre at best. The future is bright. The young hitters (Carlos Gonzalez and Barton,) and young pitchers (Gio Gonzalez, Eveland, Fautino de los Santos and Brett Anderson,) are all close. 2009-2010? Interesting. This year? Not so much.
Prediction: 71 wins.
Thanks again to all who have written in (thebaseballfriend@yahoo.com). I’ll start responding soon and put another mailbag together sometime next week.
23 Responses to “Baseball Preview: AL West”
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March 26th, 2008 at 5:20 pm
Seattle might as well not even bother running out any batters. They’re not going to score any runs this year. They have a two young, unproven pitchers with a ton of upside and zero hitting.
March 26th, 2008 at 5:25 pm
My draft is tonight. I can’t wait for the guy to take Harden 5 rounds early cause of his performance against the Red Sox.
March 26th, 2008 at 5:25 pm
I feel slightly optimistic as a Rangers fan about their chances this year. Or I could just be a little crazy.
March 26th, 2008 at 5:29 pm
The AL West is really boring. Thanks for the Escobar note. I just dropped him. Lets talk about how the Yankees will finish first in the AL East.
March 26th, 2008 at 5:30 pm
It is the California Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim’s to lose. I agree with the Adenhart prediction.
March 26th, 2008 at 5:32 pm
Harden is the real deal. Doesn’t matter that the Athletic Elephants will finish with 90+ losses.
March 26th, 2008 at 5:34 pm
AL – Jays, Tribe, Mariners, Red Sox (W.C.)
Feel free to laugh in september…
March 26th, 2008 at 5:38 pm
can i laugh now? HAHAHAHAHAHA.
oh wait, i agree. DAMNIT. well, i switch sox and jays. im less and less sold on the tigers as time goes on. mags and shef are gonna be healthy all year? no power from 1b is gonna fly? do you realize that pudge’s BA is about the same as his OBP (not good)? sure miggy and verlander are legit all-decade players and granderson is among the elite leadoff hitters, but outside of that, theyre a house of cards.
March 26th, 2008 at 5:41 pm
Spencer, I can;t disagree with what you wrote, but are you looking at the Tigers with an unbiased eye?
March 26th, 2008 at 6:08 pm
The A’s will finish no worse than second. You didn’t even mention Cust OR the myriad of injuries that hit the team last year. If they even experience average health, they’ll be a lot better. Good health, watch out.
March 26th, 2008 at 6:12 pm
Angels will make a move to solidify their rotation by July
March 26th, 2008 at 6:16 pm
Angels will make a move to solidify their rotation by July.
/Hypnotized by OWL X’s avatar.
March 26th, 2008 at 6:22 pm
Quick, owl, force him to call Dwight Howard a puss on tomorrow’s Ballin’ post. I could use some excitement.
March 26th, 2008 at 6:39 pm
Rangers all the way.
March 26th, 2008 at 6:46 pm
I’ll take the Red Sox, Indians and Mariners with the Tigers as the wild card. Just to keep it all together I’ll jump the gun on the NL, too: Braves, Cubs, Diamondbacks with the Dodgers as the wild card.
March 26th, 2008 at 9:34 pm
Red Sox, Tigers, and Mariners. I think the wild card will probably be the Indians but you can never count out the Yankees, even with a weak pitching staff. The Angels have tons of firepower, and while their lineup is killer… I can’t pick them to win the AL West with that pitching staff. Especially when they’re going against the Mariners and that ridiculous rotation. The Mariners may not score many runs, even with the lack of run production last year they still almost won a spot (with a much weaker rotation, I might add)… and there’s no way Sexson can have that bad of a season again, is there?
March 26th, 2008 at 10:38 pm
East: Yanks (in a weaker than expected division)
Central: Indians
West: Angels
Wildcard: Tigers
AL Champ: Indians
March 26th, 2008 at 10:41 pm
And, I hope the Mariners–or somebody–signs Bonds soon.
/He’s stashed away on the 412 Luft Balloons bench in the hopes some smart GM realizes Barry can still rake.
March 26th, 2008 at 11:32 pm
Oh Hef, you slay me.
March 27th, 2008 at 12:04 am
Gonzo, good luck with Connor Jackson as your starting first basemen. He’s supposed to have a breakout year for the last four years now.
March 27th, 2008 at 12:52 am
@ Nick. I don’t think there’s any way in hell the A’s finish in second place. Once Harden goes down and (presumably) Blanton gets traded, who is their rotation? Ducscherer, Gonzalez, ….?
March 27th, 2008 at 8:39 am
It’s not so much that I think they’re a great team. It’s the suckitude of the Mariners and Rangers, more than anything.
But with health, the A’s will play much better than last year. Can they possibly be that unlucky again this year? I suppose.
March 27th, 2008 at 12:02 pm
I definitely see your point about the Rangers sucking. I think the Mariners will do well enough to finish around .500, but the A’s traded away their best pitcher, best hitter and probably will trade their second best pitcher and their closer. Billy Beane as much as came out and said that they’re blowing it all up and starting over. That said, the A’s are as close to a second favorite team as I have so I hope they do well.