Let’s not read too much into Carolina’s rousing 38-23 romp of Tampa Bay last night. Impressed that the Panthers rolled up 464 yards of offense and moved the ball at will in the second half against the fifth best scoring defense in the league? Don’t be. Here are some yardage totals the Bucs have allowed on the road this season: Chicago (405), New Orleans (438), Denver (333), Kansas City (384). This is why so few people believe in the box of chocolates that is the NFC South – you have no clue what you’re getting on the road.

Also, this division’s ineptitude on the road is why Dallas fans aren’t quaking in their cleats about the postseason.

Why the obsession with Dallas? Well, when the Super Bowl favorite (according to Vegas!) stumbles, misses badly by taking a risk on a problem child, loses its star rookie for the season, panics and trades for a WR it didn’t need, loses its QB, and then loses its star running back … well, it makes for a good copy.

Your NFC playoff picture, with a handy link to tiebreakers (we’ll jam the AFC into the power rankings; too painful to put that much thought into the Jets right now):

1. Giants – Still, the best.
2. Carolina – Hardly a lock for this spot; the enigma that is Denver visits next week and then the Panthers have to go on the road to the Giants and Saints. Carolina’s 3-3 on the road. Take note of Delhomme’s home/road splits.
3. Arizona – Host the Vikings this weekend and the winner gets the inside track on this seed.
4. Minnesota – Certainly not a lock, not with Gus Frerotte iffy and T Jack the other option. The good news is, Minny gets Atlanta and the Giants at home.
5. Tampa Bay - A game up on the Cowboys with a strange finish to the season: at Atlanta, vs. SD, vs. Oakland. A loss this week will send fans of each team scurrying for the common opponents tiebreaker (things are incredibly close and not yet determined).
6. Dallas – 5-1 at home, and host the Giants and Ravens next. Dallas, which was rooting hard against Atlanta last week, may want the Falcons to win this week because the Cowboys beat Tampa and have that tiebreaker edge.
7. Falcons - Ginormous home game Sunday against Tampa, but a rookie QB against the Tampa defense with the playoffs on the line is no lock.
8. Eagles – Amazingly still in it and should beat Ken Dorsey this week, but we’re not so sure about the Washington and Dallas games.
9. Saints – Just 1-5 on the road, with two more left. Can you really count the trip to Detroit as a lock?
10. Bears – Fourth most difficult team in the league to get a handle on; beat New Orleans and we’ll give it some thought.
11. Redskins - Lost four of five and now Portis and Zorn may be at odds. A loss in Cincy and it’s definitely over.