NBA Previews: Southwest
Uncategorized October 25th. 2007, 4:51pm
The NBA season begins on Oct. 30, and we’re going to be rolling out previews from today up until the season begins. Remember Yardwork? We’ll be having one of those during the hoops season, too. Just to whet your appetite: We’re obviously bullish on the stacked Celtics, not so much on overspending Orlando; out West, we’ve bought our tickets for the Sonics bandwagon (playoffs, baby!) and think Kobe and the Lakers miss out on the postseason.
*Dallas Mavericks – Exact same team, just a year hungrier after getting booted by the Warriors in the first round. No reason to think this isn’t a 65-win team and potential NBA Finalist. Here’s the only way this team doesn’t end up with a deep playoff run: an injury to Dirk early in the season sends Cuban into a panic, and the dancing owner pulls the trigger on a dumb Kobe trade. Don’t see it happening, though. The core – Dirk, Howard and JT – will be together for at least three more years. Why blow it up?
*San Antonio Spurs – Most. Boring. Dynasty. Ever. Mortal lock: 60 wins, deep playoff run, and Big Shot Bob will sleepwalk through the regular season, and then explode when it counts.
*Houston Rockets – If we had a compile a list of the coolest NBA players, like the guys we wanted to hang with, Tracy McGrady would certainly be in the Top 3. We want him to lead the league in scoring and take the Rockets to an NBA title. Of course, he needs to keep his back healthy and finally get out of the first round to pull this off. This is definitely his year, though – finally, they have a power forward who can run and chew gum at the same time in Luis Scola, and Mike James is back. The latter is not exactly a great thing; it is, however, an upgrade from chucker Playground Alston. Can you believe Bob Sura is still in the league?
New Orleans Hornets – Nothing we particularly dislike about them … they just play in a tough conference. Chris Paul is a top-5 point guard in the league, and a healthy Peja will definitely boost a languid offense. Here’s what stinks – there’s no inside scoring presence. Please don’t try and say that David West is a reliable option. He’s a nice player who average 18-8 last year because everyone else was hurt. He’s nowhere near an upper crust PF in the NBA. Chandler is a rebound/shot-blocking machine … but has the offensive skill set of Manute Bol. And Julian Wright, a bizarre lottery pick, isn’t going to be the solution. Do like Mo Pete at SG, though. Think 35-40 wins.
Memphis Grizzlies – Will the third time be the charm for Darko? Amazingly, he’s only 22, and not even in his prime. Not to get anyone too worked up … but this may be the year to buy a Darko jersey. Do you know how many garbage points he’ll score next to Gasol? The potential is there, that’s for sure. We’re also expecting Rudy Gay to blow up this season … he’s the next Josh Smith (wait, is that even a compliment). The only real question is Conley. At what point does he take over for Mighty Mouse? Hell, when we he surpass our main man Kyle Lowry? How will a PG handle the rigors of the NBA with just one year of college seasoning? Nobody has done that successfully since Stephon Marbury. This is why we have them missing the playoffs.
19 Responses to “NBA Previews: Southwest”
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October 25th, 2007 at 4:58 PM
Gotta be the toughest division in the NBA this year, but I don’t know about Cuban’s team.
October 25th, 2007 at 4:59 PM
Chandler can’t shoot threes.
October 25th, 2007 at 5:00 PM
Dirk will never win a championship.
October 25th, 2007 at 5:05 PM
David West only got 18 and 8 last year because everybody was hurt? How about the year before when he averaged 17 and 7? I guess you could attibute that extra point and rebound to Peja and Paul missing a bunch of time.
October 25th, 2007 at 5:19 PM
Dallas doesn’t seem to have the killer instinct that you need to win. Is that Dirk’s fault? Time will tell. If they flop again this year, I think you’d need to take a serious look at trading him. He’s the ‘leader’ of the team.
October 25th, 2007 at 5:20 PM
Easiest over bet of the NBA win totals.
32.5 Memphis…OVER.
TBL, how about a post with all the win totals and your predictions? Some people (me) might care, and it could spark a lively debate.
October 25th, 2007 at 5:25 PM
Tracy won’t score as much this season. However, his excellent passing is very overlooked by many. I can’t believe the Spurs let Scola go… Last year, Van Gundy asked Rafer to pass it to Yao, pass to Tracy, get out of the way, and knock down spot up jumpers. This year, Adelman will want Rafer to be far more active creating plays. Rafer still might get traded, but he’s an underrated point guard in that he does not turn the ball over much. And with the new offense, turnovers will be up over last year. Da Rockets still have some holes, but this could be our year to make a run at it.
October 25th, 2007 at 5:27 PM
Powder – You mean in 2005-2006? When their frontcourt consisted of LaSalle’s finest (Rasual Butler), The Big Stiff Marc Jackson and senior citizen PJ Brown? I’ll attribute those 17-7 to ’somebody had to score.’
West is a nice player. But to get to the playoffs, you need a real starting PF (and by real I mean a guy you can pound it down to on the block and watch him go to work). West would make a nice 6th man.
October 25th, 2007 at 5:49 PM
After seeing that Howard Shot on Miller in the preseason, I’m thinking that it may be J-Ho who ends up the leader of the Mavs. He’s an all-star calliber player with a nasty streak, and it wouldn’t be unprecendented for a guy who’s not the best player to be the leader of championship team. Avery Johnson was considered the leader of that first Spurs team, and he yelled at Duncan & Robinson enough to proove it.
As a Mavs fan, I can dream, can’t I?
October 25th, 2007 at 6:21 PM
TBL, all I know about David West is that he is often the guy taking (and making) the last shot for the Hornets.
Not Peja. Not Chris Paul. Not Tyson Chandler.
BUT, I do agree with you, this is the toughest division in the NBA. It’s almost unfair.
October 25th, 2007 at 6:34 PM
T-Web: as a Mavs fan, would you like a Dirk for Kobe trade? I know you always have to be worried about Kobe hogging the ball, but I think he’s at a point where he wants to win, and he’d get everybody involved. Kobe has that ability to take over pretty much whenever he wants. You’d have to like that. I hate Kobe, and even I can appreciate how talented the son of a bitch is….
October 25th, 2007 at 6:47 PM
Tougest division maybe, but definitely the softest as well. The Mavs either need an enforcer or an EKG shock to get to the Finals again. Nobody on that team has any heart.
October 25th, 2007 at 7:15 PM
Rafer is still on the Rockets’ roster?!?!??
Kill me now.
Or do something to keep Rafer out of the lineup, either one.
October 25th, 2007 at 7:39 PM
Remember when Bob Sura played at FSU with Cassell and Charlie Ward?
Sura is one of the sickest white guys in the history of the association.
Without thinking about it too much:
1. Sura
2. Majerle
3. Rex Chapman
October 25th, 2007 at 9:48 PM
My list is just a tad different.
Thinking about it for 10 seconds:
1. Larry Bird
2. Jerry West
3. John Stockton
But Bobby Sura is RIGHT there…
October 25th, 2007 at 9:58 PM
@Dornoch – lol
You left out Scalabrine!
And on a serious note – Tom Chambers
October 26th, 2007 at 7:39 AM
Chambers, yup, he is another one.
TheGoose, I didn’t mean sick. I meant SICK. Bird, Stockton and West don’t make the cut.
October 26th, 2007 at 11:36 AM
Mavs….Blah, Blah, Blah! Dallas is a national media darling just like Phoenix. They are great in the regular season, but miserable failures in the playoffs.
Here is a short and sweet NBA prediction: Spurs repeat!
Everyone please keep ignoring the Spurs, call them old, call them dull and boring. You can call them anything you want, but remember you also have to call them Champions!
The one team out West that does scare me is the Houston Rockets.
The Spurs organization has done everything right for years, but IMO the one stupid move they made was shipping Scola to the Rockets. That move may very well come back to bite them in the butt!
October 26th, 2007 at 3:47 PM
My bad Dornoch. I guess SICK means “can dunk.” In that case, please add Brent Barry to the list.