Political Post to Avoid: Clinton Wins Keystone State
Politics April 23rd. 2008, 9:00am
In between last night’s occasionally-thrilling NBA action, did anyone switch over to the news channels to track the heated Pennsylvania Democratic primary? This is a historical situation; Charles Barkley would forgive you. We’ve once-again tabbed political aficionado Jon Schnaars to recap the night for us, and here’s the jist: the democratic election process is beyond absurd, and it’s going to come down to the Super Delegates (read: some 25-year kid working at your local Blockbuster who couldn’t point out Iraq on a map and who bought a house with an interest-only loan in 2007 because his waiter at Chili’s told him it was a good idea, has a vote that matters much, much more than you do). Jon’s words after the jump.
Last night, the state of Pennsylvania had its chance to act as the host of the long-winded reality show competition we call a Democratic Primary. As the end of this most recent episode drew near, the two remaining competitors arrived for the elimination ceremony. When everyone was ready Pennsylvania stood and stared hard at the two remaining contestants. He looked back and forth, from one to the other, then spoke:
“Senator Clinton, will you please stand.” As she stood, he continued to address her ominously. “You’ve fought a hard fight, and your fans have pulled hard for you. Your opponent, Senator Obama has said some nasty things about you, and you’ve said some nasty things about him. I’m sure you’re incredibly drained.”
Pennsylvania paused then to add drama as the cameras pulled in tight on both contestants. They stared stoically ahead in an attempt to project strength, even as it seemed one of their journeys would end.
After an interminable beat, the host continued with affectation: “I’m happy to say Senator, that your journey does not end here on this stage.” Clinton looked around wildly at nothing in particular at first, but then swung around to stare agape at Senator Obama, who has really begun to sweat. Just as she was about to talk, Pennsylvania stepped nearer to both of them. “No, Senator, both of you will continue to the next elimination ceremony.” Pennsylvania then spun to face the camera. “Here we come North Carolina and Indiana! We’ll see you in two week America!”
And cue the theme music.
Pennsylvania, as many forecasted, went to Senator Clinton. The results—Clinton winning 55 percent of the vote to Obama’s 45 percent—were maybe not as huge as Team Clinton would have hoped, but are still significant. Ultimately, this episode has ended in another cliffhanger, and the race now turns to Indiana and North Carolina, who will go to the polls on May 6th. Here’s what to expect between now and then:
Clinton Talks About Electability – Depending on whether you include Florida or not, Clinton will go into next week’s races down by roughly 200,000 popular votes (w/ FL) or by 500,000 popular votes (without). She also has almost no chance of catching Obama in the pledged delegate count. That means her only clear path to the nomination remains convincing the super delegates, of whom a little less than one third remain uncommitted, that she is more electable in November than Obama.
Follow The Money – Obama outspent Clinton by a wide margin in PA, setting a record in the process. Of course, he had a lot more money to spend. Clinton’s campaign has been on the ropes in the fundraising department, but this victory will likely give her a bump. The question is whether it will be enough to keep her competitive next week, where she’s already down in NC, and facing a tight race in Indiana.
Obama Hangs Tight – Obama is in a tough position. He remains ahead, but has been greatly weakened by a month that has seen him receive several black eyes. Obama continues though, to hold a 10-point lead in the national poll, and continues to poll slightly better than Clinton against McCain. He’s going to take a PR beating over the next couple of days for the PA loss, but if things go his way on the 6th, then PA’s theatrics may be for naught. The only real course of action for Team Obama then is continuing to raise money and put their message out there in hopes that traction stays strong.
This past month has been the longest period of campaigning without a contest, and this is one election follower who’s glad it’s over. Lost in all the debate over the last four weeks about who can (or can’t) bowl or who can drink a shot of whiskey is the fact that we’re trying to decide who will be the next President of our country. Here’s hoping that both Democratic candidates, as well as Senator McCain, get back to talking about the issues that are affecting our country and stay off the low road.
55 Responses to “Political Post to Avoid: Clinton Wins Keystone State”
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April 23rd, 2008 at 9:01 AM
Why’d they take a picture in a fun house mirror?
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:04 AM
Fat chance.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:04 AM
No CoRM, Sarah Jessica Parker is just that weird looking.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:06 AM
Whatever she’s got… Ferris Bueller caught it.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:06 AM
Based on the picture, I thought this post was a Kentucky Derby preview at first.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:12 AM
That picture reminds me that I need to go donate some more money to the starving kids in Africa.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:13 AM
Speaking of Obama’s electability. Here’s what the Clintons really want to say, but can’t.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:14 AM
but what does this all MEAN?
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:15 AM
Hey, I thought they shot Barbaro?
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:20 AM
Finally, some tough questions are being asked of Barack Obama. He’s looking like he peaked too early and can’t close the deal. Getting beat by 10 points in a major state at this stage of the game is very bad news for him.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:23 AM
I can’t find it now, but the NYT had a nice little graphic/interactive thing that laid out exactly what Clinton could do at this point to win. It was a slider that said: “If she wins X percent of the remaining pledged delegates, then she’ll need to win Y percent of the remaining super delegates.” They might be updating it now, but keep an eye out. That pretty much answers the questions about what the end game looks like from here.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:29 AM
Finally! Now he’s getting exposed for the empty suit that he is.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:30 AM
Broderick looks like he’s just backed up into Bill’s waiting hand.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:30 AM
Why is Hillary standing with Dee Snyder, and when did Dee get so skinny?
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:34 AM
That picture is mesmerizing.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:35 AM
Also, Obama HAD to spend more in PA because she has decades worth of name recognition there, and she’s junior Senator of the the neighboring state. Spending her into debt Cold War style is definitely a nice bonus, though.
What I don’t get: can we really derive an honest picture of the national sentiment towards these two based on the opinions of Eagles fans? (apologies to Steelers fans, but you guys aren’t that obnoxious or violent.)
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:36 AM
So, it looks like 4 years of McCain. Quite unbelievable that the Democrats couldn’t get their act together to win what should have been a landslide election over any Republican candidate.
TBL – As a favor, please do not post anymore pictures of horse-faced no talent … oh, the joke has already been made a few times. Kudos, TBL commenting people.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:39 AM
fixed…Steeler fans are really fucking obnoxious.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:40 AM
Book it for the GOP.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:42 AM
(nodding)
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:42 AM
I don’t see how people could possibly ever want her representing our country as the President?!? I can’t even look at her she is so unlikeable!
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:44 AM
@August West: I think it’s good for the process that Obama has to work a little harder for the nomination. Things have been coming way too easy for him in this primary, as he has really floated by on being simply a cultural phenomenon. Hate to break it folks, but cute t-shirts and blindly spouting “hope, hope, hope” is no better of a solution than “either you’re with us or against us”. More substance, please.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:46 AM
johndewar – How’s this for substance?
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:46 AM
Yeah, if only he had more substance like that guy who tried to help his savings and loan crony or had an affair with a lobbyist.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:47 AM
The good thing about being married to SJP is that you don’t need an alarm clock. Just roll over, get a gander at that unmade mug, and leap out of bed.
April 23rd, 2008 at 9:53 AM
yea, but what if you have to be up at 730 and you roll over at 8 and see her unmade mug? then you’re not only late, but you’re scarred for the rest of the day.
id still bang her.
April 23rd, 2008 at 10:17 AM
Yeah, if only he had more substance like that guy who tried to help his savings and loan crony or had an affair with a lobbyist.
The point is about substance not whether you find them distateful. You may not like McCain, but at least you know what he thinks. Nothing we know about Obama comes form his mouth – always from someone else.
April 23rd, 2008 at 10:18 AM
distateful is short for distasteful in my typing-challenged world.
April 23rd, 2008 at 10:23 AM
Best thing I saw this morning (from Brendan Roberts, ESPN.com)
April 23rd, 2008 at 10:33 AM
412…great stuff.
April 23rd, 2008 at 10:48 AM
I agree about Obama’s campaign lacking any substance. All we hear are self egrandizing slogans such as, “Yes We Can,” “Hope we can believe in” and my favorite, “We are the ones we’ve been waiting for” (Please.)
I can go on Obama’s website and read countless position papers by countless academics. Yet, Obama is never required by the media to defend or even explain his positions.
How creepy is the Obama campaign?
April 23rd, 2008 at 10:53 AM
What exactly does McCain stand for again?. because after Campaign Finance reform (which is what he’s already passed) he’s really got nothing. I mean he’s non-committal about Iraq, Taxes, the Economy, health care. He’s even been non-committal about stuff he used to feel strongly about like immigration (he was sympathetic to them, but now he won’t even talk about it)
Obama has at least said he wants to rework sections of NAFTA, That he’s for pulling troops out of Iraq as soon as possible, that he has a health care plan for the country. In fact he has a quite substantial list of issues )such as actually funding No Child left behind) here .
April 23rd, 2008 at 10:53 AM
i predicted a 9 pt clinton win, so close. This campaign will go on forever, i’ve completely resigned any thought that this will be resolved before the convention. Obama will win North Carolina, Clinton will take Indiana and then everyone is going to pull their hair out and move to Barbados where politicians don’t campaign for 2 YEARS!!!!!
April 23rd, 2008 at 10:54 AM
His lack of substance so to speak is actually quite comical if you ask me. I’m amazed at how many students at my school are campaigning for this guy when in reality he hasn’t said anything groundbreaking other than his speech on race. But campaigns are all about distracting the common uneducated voter to the point that they vote for you, and Barry Obama seems to have mastered this.
April 23rd, 2008 at 10:55 AM
Obama and HRC have had like 20 debates to give us their stump speeches about socialized medicine, pulling out of Iraq, and “ending poverty,” etc. 20 debates! I’m not sure how it’s possible for someone to not know where they stand on the key issues at this point.
Personality and character are important. Obama may think the good Reverend Wright is just a “distraction” (read: political liability), but it’s a fair and relevant issue to a lot of folks.
April 23rd, 2008 at 10:57 AM
@ Jibble, I don’t doubt Obama’s designs for the future. I don’t expect him to take office, assuming he wins, and simply do nothing. However, the campaign commercials you hear are, to quote the cashier on Seinfeld, just such fluff.
April 23rd, 2008 at 10:58 AM
No, Hillary thinks the good Rev. is a distraction. Obama thinks its a pain in his ass.
April 23rd, 2008 at 10:59 AM
Well of course the speeches are fluff, from every political candidate ever. All political speeches, by design, are marketing and PR stumps.
April 23rd, 2008 at 11:02 AM
I know that, but I go to school in Pittsburgh so for the last month all I have heard is Obama saying how we are going to end a war (how?) save the environment (how?) and create jobs (how?) on that stupid radio commercial of his… Sorry I’m just a little fed up with it, its nothing personal against the guy. I like him better than Hillary
April 23rd, 2008 at 11:04 AM
hes going to house her in carolina and there are 134 delegates at stake there, shes done, he cut her lead in PA from 20+ to 10 which is really impressive. he will probably win indiana, and if she loses both of the next two primaries she has to quit imo.
cunt
April 23rd, 2008 at 11:05 AM
McCain non-commital on Iraq? You must have missed the 100 year comment.
I agree about the rest, he really has not staked out any new ground. At first I thought the comparisons to a Bush and continuing the same policies were unfounded, but now I’m not so sure.
April 23rd, 2008 at 11:37 AM
It’s always so funny to read idiots talking about how Obama has no substance. What substance have McCain or Hillarity talked about? What’s that? Nothing? So why do they get a pass? Ah, I love the smell of racism in the morning.
April 23rd, 2008 at 11:43 AM
I love the smell of identity politics.
April 23rd, 2008 at 11:43 AM
Yes, yelnik. Clearly, anyone who criticizes Barack Obama is either an idiot or a racist — probably both.
April 23rd, 2008 at 11:47 AM
Nuance!
April 23rd, 2008 at 12:22 PM
I love how a guy with 20 years of workers advocacy and public service, 2 high-profile largely auto-biographical books that have been fact checked to the gills and a website that details every major policy initiative is a ‘mystery candidate’.
Damn people are lazy/dumb. I swear if you can’t get your policy point out in the time it takes to eat a handful of potato chips, 60% of this country won’t remember anything about what you said.
Sorry Obama doesn’t talk like a Neanderthal and hasn’t had to face a republican whose entire family history is based around war yet.
April 23rd, 2008 at 12:25 PM
I am going to disagree with Yelnik on you. I don’t think people are being racist by criticizing Obama. It’s far more likely almost a certainty that Mike NYC, 412, and Robert are criticizing him because he’s a Democrat than black.
We all have double-standards for our politicians, looking for anything we can in the “other side” to play up and playing down anything that may be bad or controversial with our guy. It has nothing to do with racism. Just as my criticism of McCain has nothing to do with hating old people.
April 23rd, 2008 at 12:37 PM
Oh, just wait until the general election starts, Jibbles. The “racism” cries are going to reach a fever pitch.
I mean, check out this lovely piece of race-baiting in the LA Times, which equates calling Obama “elitist” with calling him “uppity.”
April 23rd, 2008 at 1:00 PM
Hedley Lamar, “What happened to your head Taggert?
Taggert, “Oh, that uppity n—-r hit me in the head with a shovel.”
April 23rd, 2008 at 1:00 PM
I don’t doubt that there are people out there who won’t vote for Obama because he’s black. And there are people out there who are going to have criticism for him that they wouldn’t normally have if he weren’t black. (just as there will be people who are sympathetic to him because he’s black and won’t criticize him so they can say “I’m not racist I voted for a black guy”). There are still racially biased people out there.
But I don’t think anyone on this board are like that at all. I think we’re all politically biased and there’s a gigantic difference between the two.
April 23rd, 2008 at 1:03 PM
MikeNYC – I see you’ve joined the Gravatar mafia. What was the hurry? And, more importantly, what is your avatar? Is that Providence?
April 23rd, 2008 at 1:06 PM
412 – it’s weird, I can’t see the gravatar here at work, but I can at home. Use Firefox on both computers, too.
Yes, it’s PC.
April 23rd, 2008 at 2:32 PM
Shes a blatant liar and he associates with white hating racists and domestic terrorists.
McCain will win in a walk
April 23rd, 2008 at 3:42 PM
McCain will win in a walk
Then keel over of a stroke 2 days later because he’s older than math.
April 23rd, 2008 at 4:27 PM
No one said Obama lacks substance. In fact, it’s his substance that frightens me… especially after reading _Dreams From My Father_. His campaign is what lacks any substance. Anytime someone raises a tough question, Obama and his media elite allies try to dismiss it as unfair or a “manufactured issue.”