A Few Thoughts on Teixeira Signing with the Yanks
Baseball December 24th. 2008, 12:30pm
The Alleged Timeline: Here, from the Huffington Post, is a brief, anonymously sourced, but plausible version of how the deal went down.
General manager Brian Cashman met with Teixeira and his agent, Scott Boras, in the Washington area on Dec. 4 and impressed the player with models of the new Yankee Stadium, according to one of the people familiar with the talks.
Early Tuesday, after midnight New York time, Cashman received a telephone call from Boras stating that Teixeira’s preference was to play for the Yankees, the person said. While the Boston Red Sox had also pursued Teixeira, offering an eight-year deal worth about $170 million, New York is closer to the player’s family in Maryland.
Boras came off his demand for a 10-year contract later in the day, the person said, and the deal was agreed to.
Tex Projections: Teixeira’s projections vary slightly. CHONE (.902 OPS, 32 HR) and Marcel (.909 OPS, 27 HR) opine similarly. Bill James (.956 OPS, 36 HR) likes him a bit more. Giving them a rough merger for conjecture, let’s say he has a .920 OPS and 32 HR next year. He replaces the Giambino who put up a .875 OPS and 32 HR. Texeira has a slight edge offensively, and is far better defensively. Giambi has intangibles and his magic thong. Compared to last season, it’s an upgrade and a significant one, though not revolutionary. Â Texeira helps, but they need improved contributions from players, such as Cano, Matsui and Posada and Jeter to recreate the dominant 2006 and 2007 offense.
What this Means for Next Season: Presumably, Texeira takes over at first, Swisher moves to the outfield and Melky Cabrera sits. The CHONE projections have Teixeira worth +31 runs above average. Cabrera is worth -1. The Yankees pick up a projected 32 runs. Pre-Trade, The Red Sox and Yankees were almost identical (assuming the Red Sox resigned Varitek). If the Yankees replace either Nady or Damon with Manny Ramirez, they would add another 32 runs. For FanGraphs, Texeira gives New York 3-4 extra wins, altering them from “contender†to “best team in baseball.€
The Yanks Aren’t Spending A Lot: This point has been beaten more than the Detroit Lions, bah-zing. The Yankees shed $88m in payroll this offseason. With Sabathia ($23m), Texeira ($22.5m) and Burnett ($16.4 million), New York added $62 million. This leaves them still $26 million under last year’s expenditure. Essentially, they could add Manny Ramirez or an Andy Pettite-Adam Dunn combo and break even.
The Yanks Are Spending Quite a Bit: The Yankees, four highest paid salaries in tow, will pay some significant luxury coin next season. The three big signings tie the Yankees to $423.5 million in guaranteed contracts. According to FanGraphs their real payroll bloats to more than $250 million, ten million per 25-man player. Their alleged big market rivals, the Boston Red Sox, spent $133 million, $5.32 million per 25-man player. With the new stadium revenue (and payment burden safely transferred to the taxpayers), MLB may not be able to control the Yankees with money.
11 Responses to “A Few Thoughts on Teixeira Signing with the Yanks”
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December 24th, 2008 at 12:45 PM
If you want a really nice breakdown of this deal, you should read Darren Rovell’s last two columns at his CNBC blog.
December 24th, 2008 at 12:51 PM
I’m no Yankees fan, but I am so sick of hearing people bitch about how their spending is bad for baseball. What would be worse for baseball would be him signing a comparable deal with a perennial bottom feeder like the Nationals. You CAN compete even if you don’t have the payroll of the NY teams, Chicago teams, LA teams, and Boston. You just have to be smart with your trades and drafting (Oakland, Florida, Tampa) and not draft soft tossing lefty after soft tossing lefty (FUCK YOU DAVE LITTLEFIELD). If Anaheim or Boston gave him this deal nobody would be bitching.
And I am REALLY tired of people weaving recession comments into this shit. Yeah its really irresponsible for billionaires to continue what they always do. And is it in no way irresponsible for the people who can’t really afford to buy Sabathia jerseys and pay a hundred bucks for tickets to the new stadium to do so, no, its all the billionaires fault.
December 24th, 2008 at 12:53 PM
Did you read the link someone posted in the last Teixeira thread? Youre not taking into account other expenditures, arbitration raises, Nick Swisher, ARod & Cano alone will have their salaries go up by a combined 8 mil. They’ll still have around the same payroll as last year, if they are done spending now. Which they’re probably not.
December 24th, 2008 at 12:57 PM
I like this piece from Buster Olney’s blog
And even if their payroll is higher than last year; if it is close to last years with all the moves they are making, it is still a brilliant piece of general managing
December 24th, 2008 at 1:09 PM
teixeira is an ass. he will be a perfect fit with the yankees.
December 24th, 2008 at 1:10 PM
People pay attention to the Yankees, and that’s good for our sport
Yes, as a fan (or ex-fan) of the Colorado Rockies I am very happy that the Yankees can outspend everyone, its very exciting and makes me really look forward to the upcoming season.
December 24th, 2008 at 1:33 PM
We should all be happy that Cashman was too stupid last year to trade for Johan Santana — if that would have happened the Yankees would really be the overwhelming favorites.
However, signing free-agents to huge contracts is ultimately a losing proposition since you are paying players for what they have done, not what they are going to do. Now it’s possible that it doesn’t really matter for the Yankees since they have an unlimited supply of money but eventually they are going to be stuck with an aging or ineffective Teixeira, Burnett and Sabathia. They can’t go out and get another 1B until Teixeira contract runs out, same thing with the pitchers. So in a few years with Teixeira turns into Todd Helton (signed at the same age but a much better player) they are still going to have to keep him because he’s untradeable and even the Yankees wouldn’t cut a $20m+ player.
December 24th, 2008 at 3:12 PM
They were about the same with the bat, but Teixeira is a much better defender. So total value, Teixeira a good bit better.
December 24th, 2008 at 6:31 PM
They were about the same with the bat, but Teixeira is a much better defender. So total value, Teixeira a good bit better.
I used OPS+ for offense and Helton was much better (Helton:119/122/163/160/147 vs. Teixeira:102/131/144/126/150). Fielding stats are a little tougher but according to UZR/150 (available on Fangraphs.com) Helton’s been a better defender lately than Teixeira so it would stand to reason that he was better when they were both the same age. Also Baseball Prospectus’ stats have Helton as better fielder. Since both of them agree that Helton is/was a better defender, I doubt that you can say Teixeira is a superior fielder. Throw in the fact that Helton was more durable (played in 97% of his team’s games vs. Teixeira’s 93%) Helton was the superior player. Maybe not far superior but clearly the better player. And since the Rockies owe Helton $56.9m for the next three seasons (adding in his 2012 buyout), not sure that contract worked out too well for the Rockies. Now maybe Teixeira will age better, but then again, maybe he won’t.
December 24th, 2008 at 8:35 PM
B-R.com will neutralize for league and ballpark. Using that, their bats are roughly the same.
December 25th, 2008 at 1:48 AM
it’s a bit misleading to say this comes from the huffington post, when it’s the ap’s ron blum who wrote the story. seeing as he’s as well-connected as any baseball writer in the country, i think it’s probably safe to trust his timeline of events.