College Football Top 25: Week 12
College Football November 21st. 2010, 7:15pm
My Top 25 for Week 12. Here are the calculations. Here are the FEI ratings that determined the quality win component. Here are the Sagarin strength of schedule ratings used to break ties. TCU currently occupies the second position, but that doesn’t mean they will be there at the season’s end.
1. Auburn (18)
2. TCU (16.25)
3. Boise State (15.5)
4. Oregon (15)
5. Stanford (15)
6. Ohio State (15)
7. LSU (14.5)
8. Wisconsin (14.5)
9. Oklahoma (13.25)
10. Alabama (13.25)
11. Michigan State (13.25)
12. Virginia Tech (13)
13. Arkansas (12.75)
14. Oklahoma State (12.75)
15. Utah (12)
16. Nebraska (11.75)
17. Nevada (11.75)
18. Missouri (11)
19. Texas A&M (10.25)
20. Florida State (10)
21. North Carolina State (9.5)
22. USC (9.25)
23. Miami (9)
24. Arizona (8.75)
25. South Carolina (8.5)
Last Five Out: Hawaii (8.5), Air Force (8.25), Northern Illinois (7.75), Florida (7.5), Iowa (7.5)
My system assess a team’s comprehensive resume, regardless of other factors. It loves Auburn, because of the SEC’s depth. They beat eight teams in the FEI Top 60 earning quality win points. Beating a good team is rewarded more than beating a bad team in style. With a win against either Alabama or South Carolina, Auburn’s lead would be unassailable.
If every team earns the maximum points remaining, Boise State would tie with Oregon. How can winning the Pac-10 and the WAC undefeated be equal points? Look at the non-conference schedules. I discounted FCS wins, limiting Oregon’s point-earning pool to 11 games. The Ducks’ other two non-Pac 10 opponents, Tennessee and New Mexico, did not add any quality win points. Boise State and Oregon would both have four point-adding wins. TCU would have three.
Again, the system assesses the comprehensive season. So, Ohio State slightly edges Wisconsin despite losing head to head. You could argue Wisconsin should be ahead of Ohio State based on the head to head, but, to be consistent, you also need to argue that Michigan State should be ahead of Wisconsin. This is the type of week to week hysteria and inconsistent logic I’m trying to avoid.
The one real disparity with consensus is South Carolina. The Gamecocks makes the poll this week at 25. They earned full quality points against Alabama and Florida and a half against Georgia. They had one FCS win. Every other win was against a team in the bottom 60, at home.
[Photo via Getty]

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71 Responses to “College Football Top 25: Week 12”
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November 21st, 2010 at 7:30 PM
this a wankathon. i hope this is fun for you ty, putting these together, because all we really need for a lively discussion is for you to guess and toss up a 25 that’s somewhat sensible
November 21st, 2010 at 7:31 PM
Going to the Badger game next Saturday, considering Northwestern gave up 330 yards to some Illinois back I’d never heard of before I’m going to assume the UW running game will continue violating bitches…let’s make the Rose Bowl magic happen, been far too long
November 21st, 2010 at 7:32 PM
So weird…I was going to make a CentSports account, and it said I was already a member. I sign in with a password I usually use, and says I joined in January 2009 (and have 27 cents). I don’t remember EVER signing up here.
November 21st, 2010 at 7:34 PM
Isnt drinking great?
November 21st, 2010 at 7:36 PM
Utah is too high. And their accomplishments are too paltry to merit points. I have no idea how they have 15 points, even with your new system, Ty.
November 21st, 2010 at 7:40 PM
Must’ve been fucked up…I bet on Oklahoma hoops.
November 21st, 2010 at 7:41 PM
No.
/what I will say tomorrow at 530 am
//cracks beer
November 21st, 2010 at 7:42 PM
I think I hate Brett Favre
November 21st, 2010 at 7:44 PM
Just don’t hop on to Canadian football like Fetch has.
November 21st, 2010 at 7:45 PM
I’m not sure how you’re way beyond “think” at this point.
November 21st, 2010 at 7:45 PM
REDWINGS MOTHERFUCKER YEAAAAAAAAH
November 21st, 2010 at 7:47 PM
Honestly.. NC State has a shot at ACC Atlantic next week and all i really care about is that they have beat UNC 4 years in a row
November 21st, 2010 at 7:48 PM
My God it feels good to be home.
November 21st, 2010 at 7:49 PM
Imma so happy right now. When the Wings won in OT I did that Homer Simpson walk in circles on the floor move for a minute or so.
November 21st, 2010 at 7:50 PM
Well if it isn’t our little (but pretty tall) shepherd of men.
November 21st, 2010 at 7:50 PM
Mmmmm Sam Bradford’s beard is yummy
November 21st, 2010 at 7:51 PM
How was the road trip bonanza SC?
November 21st, 2010 at 7:52 PM
And did anyone see that shot of Belichick in the fedora? That was fucking awesome!
November 21st, 2010 at 7:52 PM
Really? I was just thinking that that boy needs to shave.
November 21st, 2010 at 7:53 PM
AM I JUST SUPPOSED TO ACCEPT A 7-4 SEASON?!?! EVERY YEAR IT’S LIKE THIS!!!
November 21st, 2010 at 7:53 PM
Defintely this week’s A FUCKING HAT!
November 21st, 2010 at 7:54 PM
just saw some Josh Selby highlights and jizzed my pants.
sorry about the hockey weekend, cj
November 21st, 2010 at 7:54 PM
OMG Thank you for the screenshot, Senator!
November 21st, 2010 at 7:54 PM
GC has like 40 bucks on CS. I’m truly humbled.
November 21st, 2010 at 7:56 PM
I know I do. I remember when I used to go out of my way to watch every Viking game. Today I barely considered going to watch it and I’m glad I didn’t.
November 21st, 2010 at 7:56 PM
/What I’ll be telling Fetch this time next week.
November 21st, 2010 at 7:56 PM
I think our backup goalie is getting both starts, so probably.
November 21st, 2010 at 7:59 PM
Oh hey Lisk if you dont have the Pats in your top 3 this week I WILL KILL YOU
November 21st, 2010 at 8:01 PM
Is Dell hurt or something?
November 21st, 2010 at 8:01 PM
no jersey, it’s just that it’s a non-conference series so that’s usually when the backup comes out.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:03 PM
1) Packers
2-32) Irrelevant
/Still giddy over today’s win
November 21st, 2010 at 8:03 PM
Ehhh. How’s ND fared against UND all time.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:03 PM
Meltdown of the Year. I’m so glad we all got to witness that. It made my evening.
Of course, as I’m taking all of my stuff out of the truck, what do I find in the back? Spencer’s OSU hat. It was like a subtle fuck you when I pulled it out. I laughed though. Now I gotta mail this thing back.
Is there a writer around? I need to honor my name change.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:04 PM
Lisk, I wouldn’t just laugh this one off…she seems serious.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:05 PM
Butters did you see that graphic comparing Rodgers and Favre in the beginning of their careers? I would feel great if I were you.
/fuck the Rodgers haters
November 21st, 2010 at 8:06 PM
We had a great time. I’m sure we’ll do some story telling tomorrow for everyone. Right now, all I want to do is take a shower and plant my ass on the couch. So sick of being in the car… there’s a funny story about the car that involves a blowtorch though.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:06 PM
I have had.. a lot.. to drink
November 21st, 2010 at 8:07 PM
But of course, also noticed that it took Favre until his 5th start to win at the MetroDome, Rodgers got a win in his 3rd…it’s the little things in life worth enjoying
And the haters will always be there, until he wins a Super Bowl he’ll become the new Peyton
November 21st, 2010 at 8:07 PM
1) Packers
2-32) Irrelevant
/Still giddy over today’s win
Everybody’s giddy about that win. I will seriously read everything I can about Favre this week. I think he’s going to quit during the season. There aren’t even mathematical playoff scenarios anymore, much less plausible ones. Either that or they bench him, but I think he quits if he gets benched.
So awesome. This is the way this guy deserved to go out.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:08 PM
“time to take advantage” a lot, or “she’s gonna blow” a lot?
/This line is a lot finer than anyone would like.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:09 PM
He had Pats at #4 last week so think you are cool..and I’m hoping he keeps the Bucs low still, allows the few Bucs fans out there to still use Raheem’s Us against the World mentality
November 21st, 2010 at 8:10 PM
no idea to be honest. They haven’t played in forever. Split a series in 98-99.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:11 PM
interesting
November 21st, 2010 at 8:11 PM
Giggity.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:14 PM
Jaguars above the Colts in this week’s power rankings…
November 21st, 2010 at 8:14 PM
I was saying this earlier today with some people. Why would he hang around at this point. The ship struck an iceberg hours ago and is starting to go down more rapidly. Pretty soon it will split in half and…alright I think the Titanic analogy is clear at this point.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:15 PM
am I watching the AMAs? Maybe
November 21st, 2010 at 8:16 PM
Just give me a heads up when Bieber comes on.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:17 PM
T-minus 5 min untill Faith Hill’s tight skirt
/high five jersey
November 21st, 2010 at 8:18 PM
Who won that race thing? Did Dale Jr. run into a wall?
November 21st, 2010 at 8:19 PM
I have a new nominee for a fucking hat
November 21st, 2010 at 8:19 PM
I think thats a dead animal atop of Brandon Merriweather
November 21st, 2010 at 8:19 PM
I’ve been waiting all week.
/high fives Mantis.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:20 PM
Anybody watch the Caps/Pens 24/7 preview?
November 21st, 2010 at 8:21 PM
What the hell is going on up in New England and their freaking lids.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:22 PM
The Pats, Falcons and Jets lead the league in fucking wins but only the men of Hoodie lead the league in fucking hats
November 21st, 2010 at 8:23 PM
Faith Hill Fuck Me Dress!!!!!!!!!!
November 21st, 2010 at 8:23 PM
THAT SKIRT!!
November 21st, 2010 at 8:24 PM
Vickadelphia -4 and over 49.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:26 PM
I’m a pussy, I took the money line and the over but not the spread.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:26 PM
I got it at 48.5 but we’re on the same age, brotha.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:30 PM
When was it?
November 21st, 2010 at 8:31 PM
Vlad, HBO Canada had a 15 minute preview on late last night. Watched it this morning, looking forward to the series.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:32 PM
I miss Jordan Staal
November 21st, 2010 at 8:32 PM
Super Mario was too embarrassed by Michigan’s season to say he went there during the introduction videos. Said his high school instead.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:33 PM
I don’t think the States have shown it yet. I’m still giddy about the Wings pulling a V out of their A.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:34 PM
Super Mario, another recycled nickname.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:36 PM
One too many spins by LeSean McCoy.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:38 PM
Geez – You watch either Hawks/Flames or Hawks/Canucks? Care to tell me what the fuck happened in either? Blown out by a bad team, blow out a good team. I missed them both.
November 21st, 2010 at 8:39 PM
my bad on the tardiness – NFL post is up. move!
i promise to limit my H Nicks comments.
/took the Giants +3
November 21st, 2010 at 8:44 PM
SC, I only caught pieces of each game. Jekyll and Hyde Hawks this year, didn’t have their feet moving against the Flames, then caught the Nucks after a lenghthy road trip.