College Football 2016 Picks Against The Spread: Week 5

College Football 2016 Picks Against The Spread: Week 5


College Football 2016 Picks Against The Spread: Week 5

Last week had some epic bad beats. We were skunked going 0-5 and falling to 8-11-1 on the season. Hopefully, we’ll regain some ground here. 

Michigan [-10.5] vs. Wisconsin

Wisconsin crested last week, feasting off MSU turnovers. The Badgers don’t have the athleticism to stretch Michigan’s defense. The Wolverines have been excellent on special teams, don’t turn the ball over, and have scored at least 45 points in every game so far. Wisconsin is travelling for its second-straight, tough road trip. Michigan has been biding its time and tuning up at home.

Indiana [+7] vs. Michigan State

Michigan State’s offense is in crisis. Its defense can’t stop the pass and has an injury crisis at linebacker. The Spartans hit the road to Indiana, fresh off a brutal loss at home. MSU faces Indiana who (a) have a track record playing them tough under Kevin Wilson (b) will go full on aerial assault with a prolific (if not always efficient) passing game and (c) have been playing halfway decent defense so far.

Syracuse [+10] vs. Notre Dame

Notre Dame has started 1-3. It’s getting ugly. Brian Kelly fired defensive coordinator Brian VanGorder. He blamed his entire team and absolved himself. Terming this team an “emotional wreck” would falsely imply they were exhibiting emotion. The abominable Notre Dame defense can’t cover, can’t tackle, and can’t get to the quarterback. Syracuse’s Baylor-style spread against that crew with a 10-point cushion? We’ll take it.

South Carolina [+17.5] vs. Texas A&M

Sandwich game for Texas A&M in a tough road environment. The Aggies are explosive on both sides of the ball. They aren’t consistent. They rely on big plays. South Carolina has only allowed three scrimmage plays of 30 yards or more this season. A&M will have to win this one doing things they aren’t great at: converting 3rd downs, stopping 3rd down conversions, and being efficient in the red zone. Aggies win, but the Gamecocks cover.

Marshall [+15.5] at Pittsburgh

Pitt has an atrocious pass defense. The Panthers gave up 9.5 yards/attempt against Penn State. Marshall has an explosive passing offense. This is a sandwich game and a potential let down spot after back-to-back shootout losses to Oklahoma State and North Carolina. Pat Narduzzi’s team wins at home, but that’s too many points for them to cover.