Our picks went 5-0 last week, bringing us back above water to 22-20-3 on the season. Here’s who we like for week 10.
Ohio State (-17) vs. Nebraska
Nebraska heads to the Horseshoe for their second-straight road game, after a physical, deflating loss to Wisconsin. Ohio State has issues to resolve with its offense. That won’t be a concern this week against running an underwhelming Nebraska front seven. Tommy Armstrong has faced two Top 40 yards/play defenses – Wisconsin and Indiana. He completed less than 40 percent of his passes in both games and threw one TD to four interceptions. Roll Buckeyes.
USC (-17) vs. Oregon
USC has rebounded from early difficulties with four straight wins, scoring 41-plus points in three of them. They feature a budding star, Sam Darnold, at quarterback. Oregon’s defense is horrendous. The Ducks’ resurgence last week against Arizona State came through the air, against arguably the worst P5 pass defense. That won’t happen against a better equipped Trojan secondary.
Georgia Southern (+27.5) at Ole Miss
The Rebels came off a bye and lost three straight SEC West games. They are reeling. Georgia Southern will run the ball against a soft Ole Miss run defense about 50 times. Their defensive numbers don’t shout out to anyone, but they are efficient on third downs and in the red zone. The Eagles do enough to keep it close.
South Carolina (-7) vs. Missouri
The Will Muschamp Express has left the station, after two straight wins. Beating Missouri would all but secure bowl play. Moribund Missouri is fresh off a loss to Middle Tennessee and a two-touchdown loss to Kentucky, at home. Missouri’s offense depends on big pass plays. The one task South Carolina performs with proficiency is defending the pass. The Gamecocks have allowed just three passes longer than 30 yards this season, best in the nation.
Michigan (-31) vs. Maryland
This is a letdown spot for Michigan, right? Wrong. Both teams emphasize the run. They differ in that Michigan can stop it. Maryland cannot. The Terps ranked 91st nationally in yards allowed/carry vs. P5 opponents. Three Indiana players rushed for more than 100 yards last week against them. The Wolverine defense has a point to prove, after showing vulnerability last week.